Browsing by Author "Anderegg N"

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Changes in rapid HIV treatment initiation after national "treat all" policy adoption in 6 sub-Saharan African countries: Regression discontinuity analysis.
(2019-Jun) Tymejczyk O; Brazier E; Yiannoutsos CT; Vinikoor M; van Lettow M; Nalugoda F; Urassa M; Sinayobye JD; Rebeiro PF; Wools-Kaloustian K; Davies MA; Zaniewski E; Anderegg N; Liu G; Ford N; Nash D; Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis, Indiana, United States of America.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Global Hepatitis Programme, HIV/AIDS Department, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.; Department of Medicine, University of Alabama, Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.; Institute for Implementation Science in Population Health, City University of New York, New York, New York, United States of America.; Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, New York, United States of America.; Rakai Health Sciences Program, Kalisizo and Entebbe, Uganda.; Rwanda Military Hospital, Kigali, Rwanda.; Dignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.; Mwanza Intervention Trials Unit, National Institute for Medical Research, Mwanza, Tanzania.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, Indiana, United States of America.; Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: Most countries have formally adopted the World Health Organization's 2015 recommendation of universal HIV treatment ("treat all"). However, there are few rigorous assessments of the real-world impact of treat all policies on antiretroviral treatment (ART) uptake across different contexts. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We used longitudinal data for 814,603 patients enrolling in HIV care between 1 January 2004 and 10 July 2018 in 6 countries participating in the global International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) consortium: Burundi (N = 11,176), Kenya (N = 179,941), Malawi (N = 84,558), Rwanda (N = 17,396), Uganda (N = 96,286), and Zambia (N = 425,246). Using a quasi-experimental regression discontinuity design, we assessed the change in the proportion initiating ART within 30 days of enrollment in HIV care (rapid ART initiation) after country-level adoption of the treat all policy. A modified Poisson model was used to identify factors associated with failure to initiate ART rapidly under treat all. In each of the 6 countries, over 60% of included patients were female, and median age at enrollment ranged from 32 to 36 years. In all countries studied, national adoption of treat all was associated with large increases in rapid ART initiation. Significant increases in rapid ART initiation immediately after treat all policy adoption were observed in Rwanda, from 44.4% to 78.9% of patients (34.5 percentage points [pp], 95% CI 27.2 to 41.7; p < 0.001), Kenya (25.7 pp, 95% CI 21.8 to 29.5; p < 0.001), Burundi (17.7 pp, 95% CI 6.5 to 28.9; p = 0.002), and Malawi (12.5 pp, 95% CI 7.5 to 17.5; p < 0.001), while no immediate increase was observed in Zambia (0.4 pp, 95% CI -2.9 to 3.8; p = 0.804) and Uganda (-4.2 pp, 95% CI -9.0 to 0.7; p = 0.090). The rate of rapid ART initiation accelerated sharply following treat all policy adoption in Malawi, Uganda, and Zambia; slowed in Kenya; and did not change in Rwanda and Burundi. In post hoc analyses restricted to patients enrolling under treat all, young adults (16-24 years) and men were at increased risk of not rapidly initiating ART (compared to older patients and women, respectively). However, rapid ART initiation following enrollment increased for all groups as more time elapsed since treat all policy adoption. Study limitations include incomplete data on potential ART eligibility criteria, such as clinical status, pregnancy, and enrollment CD4 count, which precluded the assessment of rapid ART initiation specifically among patients known to be eligible for ART before treat all. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis indicates that adoption of treat all policies had a strong effect on increasing rates of rapid ART initiation, and that these increases followed different trajectories across the 6 countries. Young adults and men still require additional attention to further improve rapid ART initiation.
Correcting mortality estimates among children and youth on antiretroviral therapy in southern Africa: A comparative analysis between a multi-country tracing study and linkage to a health information exchange.
(2024-Aug) Nyakato P; Schomaker M; Boulle A; Euvrard J; Wood R; Eley B; Prozesky H; Christ B; Anderegg N; Ayakaka I; Rafael I; Kunzekwenyika C; Moore CB; van Lettow M; Chimbetete C; Mbewe S; Ballif M; Egger M; Yiannoutsos CT; Cornell M; Davies MA; R.M Fairbanks, School of Public Health, Department of Biostatistics, Indiana University, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.; Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; SolidarMed, Pemba, Mozambique.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; SolidarMed, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.; Department of Infectious Diseases, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Stellenbosch and Tygerberg Academic Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Lilongwe, Malawi.; SolidarMed, Maseru, Lesotho.; Khayelitsha ART Programme, Cape Town, South Africa.; Western Cape Government: Health and Wellness, Cape Town, South Africa.; Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Madiro, Toronto, Canada.; Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.; Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Gugulethu HIV Programme and Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Dignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to assess the outcomes of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up, correct mortality estimates for children, adolescents and young adults with HIV for unascertained outcomes in those loss to follow-up (LTFU) based on tracing and linkage data separately using data from the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa. METHODS: We included data from two different populations of children, adolescents and young adults with HIV; (1) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤24 years from Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe; (2) clinical data from children, adolescents and young adults with HIV aged ≤14 years from the Western Cape (WC) in South Africa. Outcomes of patients lost to follow-up were available from (1) a tracing study and (2) linkage to a health information exchange. For both populations, we compared six methods for correcting mortality estimates for all children, adolescents and young adults with HIV. RESULTS: We found substantial variations of mortality estimates among children, adolescents and young adults with HIV reported as lost to follow-up versus those retained in care. Ascertained mortality was higher among lost and traceable children, adolescents and young adults with HIV and lower among lost and linkable than those retained in care (mortality: 13.4% [traced] vs. 12.6% [retained-other Southern Africa countries]; 3.4% [linked] vs. 9.4% [retained-WC]). A high proportion of lost to follow-up children, adolescents and young adults with HIV had self-transferred (21.0% and 47.0%) in the traced and linked samples, respectively. The uncorrected method of non-informative censoring yielded the lowest mortality estimates among all methods for both tracing (6.0%) and linkage (4.0%) approaches at 2 years from ART start. Among corrected methods using ascertained data, multiple imputation, incorporating ascertained data (MI(asc.)) and inverse probability weighting with logistic weights were most robust for the tracing approach. In contrast, for the linkage approach, MI(asc.) was the most robust. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings emphasise that lost to follow-up is non-ignorable and both tracing and linkage improved outcome ascertainment: tracing identified substantial mortality in those reported as lost to follow-up, whereas linkage did not identify out-of-facility deaths, but showed that a large proportion of those reported as lost to follow-up were self-transfers.
Global Trends in CD4 Measurement and Immunosuppression at ART Initiation Among Children With HIV.
(2025-Apr-04) Patten G; Malateste K; Bolton Moore C; Sipambo N; Mokone L; Anderegg N; Wools-Kaloustian K; Michael D; Odhiambo F; Kasozi C; Desmonde S; Amorissani-Folquet M; Leroy V; Kumara Wati D; Nallusamy R; Kinikar A; Quy DT; Yotebieng M; Ebasone PV; Lelo P; Pinto J; Rouzier V; Machado DM; Haw NJ; Ford N; Department of Pediatrics, Prof. Dr. I.G.N.G. Ngoerah General Hospital, Udayana University, Bali, Indonesia.; School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.; Pediatric Department, Cocody University Hospital, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire.; Department of Medicine, Indiana University School of Medicine; Indianapolis, Indiana.; Department of Pediatrics, BJ Government Medical College and Sassoon General Hospital, Pune, India.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ), Lusaka, Zambia.; Kalembe Lembe Pediatric Hospital, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Clinical Research Education, Networking and Consultancy (CRENC), Yaoundé, Cameroon.; Department of Pediatrics, Escola Paulista de Medicina, Federal University of Sao Paulo (UNIFESP), São Paulo, Brazil.; Centres GHESKIO, Port-au-Prince, Haiti.; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland.; SolidarMed, Maseru, Lesotho.; World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.; Children's Hospital 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.; University of Bordeaux, National Institute for Health and Medical Research (INSERM) UMR 1219, Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD) EMR 271, Bordeaux Population Health Research Centre, Bordeaux, France.; Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Harriet Shezi Children's Clinic, Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; From the Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Centre for Microbiology Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya.; Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.; Centre d'Epidémiologie et de Recherche en santé des POPulations (CERPOP), French National Institute for Health and Medical Research (Inserm), University of Toulouse 3, UMR 1295, Toulouse, France.; Department of Pediatrics, Penang Hospital, Penang, Malaysia.; Masaka Regional Referral Hospital, Masaka City, Uganda.; Tanzanian National Institute of Medical Research, Mwanza, Tanzania.
Eligibility for antiretroviral therapy is no longer based on immune criteria. In a global cohort of 97,453 children, between 2005 and 2021, we observed large declines in CD4 measurement, from 51% to 12% among <5 seconds, and from 74% to 20% among those 5-14 years of age. Lack of CD4 testing may negatively affect clinical care and surveillance of severe immune suppression.
High Unreported Mortality in Children and Youth (<25 Years) Living With HIV Who Were Lost to Care From Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in Southern Africa: Results From a Multicountry Tracing Study.
(2022-Dec-15) Nyakato P; Christ B; Anderegg N; Muhairwe J; Jefferys L; van Dijk J; Vinikoor MJ; van Lettow M; Chimbetete C; Phiri SJ; Egger M; Ballif M; Yiannoutsos CT; Schomaker M; Kassanjee R; Davies MA; Cornell M; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Wellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine.; SolidarMed, Maseru, Lesotho.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Lilongwe, Malawi.; SolidarMed, Pemba, Mozambique.; SolidarMed, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.; R.M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Department of Biostatistics, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN; and.; Dignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.; Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, München, Germany.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: Antiretroviral therapy program mortality maybe underestimated if deceased patients are misclassified as lost. METHODS: We used two-stage inverse probability weighting to account for probability of being: sampled for tracing and found by the tracer. RESULTS: Among 680 children and youth aged <25 years on antiretroviral therapy who were lost and traced in Southern Africa between October 2017 and November 2019, estimated mortality was high at 9.1% (62/680). After adjusting for measured covariates and within-site clustering, mortality remained lower for young adults aged 20-24 years compared with infants aged <2 years [adjusted hazard ratio: 0.40 (95% confidence interval: 0.31 to 0.51)]. CONCLUSIONS: Our study confirms high unreported mortality in children and youth who are lost and the need for tracing to assess vital status among those who are lost to accurately report on program mortality.
Retention and mortality on antiretroviral therapy in sub-Saharan Africa: collaborative analyses of HIV treatment programmes.
(2018-Feb) Haas AD; Zaniewski E; Anderegg N; Ford N; Fox MP; Vinikoor M; Dabis F; Nash D; Sinayobye JD; Niyongabo T; Tanon A; Poda A; Adedimeji AA; Edmonds A; Davies MA; Egger M; Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la santé, Université Polytechnique de Bobo-Dioulasso, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, City University of New York, School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.; Institute for Implementation Science in Population Health, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine and Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY, USA.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; ISPED, Centre Inserm U1219-Bordeaux Population Health, Université de Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France.; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; World Health Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland.; Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.; Rwanda Military Hospital, Kigali, Rwanda.; Service de Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales (SMIT), CHU de Treichville, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire.; Centre National de Reference en Matiere de VIH/SIDA (CNR), Bujumbura, Burundi.; School of Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Institute of Social & Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Department of Epidemiology, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
INTRODUCTION: By 2020, 90% of all people diagnosed with HIV should receive long-term combination antiretroviral therapy (ART). In sub-Saharan Africa, this target is threatened by loss to follow-up in ART programmes. The proportion of people retained on ART long-term cannot be easily determined, because individuals classified as lost to follow-up, may have self-transferred to another HIV treatment programme, or may have died. We describe retention on ART in sub-Saharan Africa, first based on observed data as recorded in the clinic databases, and second adjusted for undocumented deaths and self-transfers. METHODS: We analysed data from HIV-infected adults and children initiating ART between 2009 and 2014 at a sub-Saharan African HIV treatment programme participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA). We used the Kaplan-Meier method to calculate the cumulative incidence of retention on ART and the Aalen-Johansen method to calculate the cumulative incidences of death, loss to follow-up, and stopping ART. We used inverse probability weighting to adjust clinic data for undocumented mortality and self-transfer, based on estimates from a recent systematic review and meta-analysis. RESULTS: We included 505,634 patients: 12,848 (2.5%) from Central Africa, 109,233 (21.6%) from East Africa, 347,343 (68.7%) from Southern Africa and 36,210 (7.2%) from West Africa. In crude analyses of observed clinic data, 52.1% of patients were retained on ART, 41.8% were lost to follow-up and 6.0% had died 5 years after ART initiation. After accounting for undocumented deaths and self-transfers, we estimated that 66.6% of patients were retained on ART, 18.8% had stopped ART and 14.7% had died at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Improving long-term retention on ART will be crucial to attaining the 90% on ART target. Naïve analyses of HIV cohort studies, which do not account for undocumented mortality and self-transfer of patients, may severely underestimate both mortality and retention on ART.
Tracing People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Who Are Lost to Follow-up at Antiretroviral Therapy Programs in Southern Africa: A Sampling-Based Cohort Study in 6 Countries.
(2022-Jan-29) Ballif M; Christ B; Anderegg N; Chammartin F; Muhairwe J; Jefferys L; Hector J; van Dijk J; Vinikoor MJ; van Lettow M; Chimbetete C; Phiri SJ; Onoya D; Fox MP; Egger M; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Lilongwe, Malawi.; Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; SolidarMed, Maseru, Lesotho.; Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.; SolidarMed, Pemba, Mozambique.; SolidarMed, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa.; Dignitas International, Zomba, Malawi.; Department of Epidemiology and Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research and Epidemiology, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: Attrition threatens the success of antiretroviral therapy (ART). In this cohort study, we examined outcomes of people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) who were lost to follow-up (LTFU) during 2014-2017 at ART programs in Southern Africa. METHODS: We confirmed LTFU (missed appointment for ≥60 or ≥90 days, according to local guidelines) by checking medical records and used a standardized protocol to trace a weighted random sample of PLHIV who were LTFU in 8 ART programs in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, 2017-2019. We ascertained vital status and identified predictors of mortality using logistic regression, adjusted for sex, age, time on ART, time since LTFU, travel time, and urban or rural setting. RESULTS: Among 3256 PLHIV, 385 (12%) were wrongly categorized as LTFU and 577 (17%) had missing contact details. We traced 2294 PLHIV (71%) by phone calls, home visits, or both: 768 (34% of 2294) were alive and in care, including 385 (17%) silent transfers to another clinic; 528 (23%) were alive without care or unknown care; 252 (11%) had died. Overall, the status of 1323 (41% of 3256) PLHIV remained unknown. Mortality was higher in men than women, higher in children than in young people or adults, and higher in PLHIV who had been on ART <1 year or LTFU ≥1 year and those living farther from the clinic or in rural areas. Results were heterogeneous across sites. CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights the urgent need for better medical record systems at HIV clinics and rapid tracing of PLHIV who are LTFU.