Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia
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Measuring the composition and availability of human resources for health by sex in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2023, and workforce gaps for universal health coverage: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023.
(2026-Sep)
BACKGROUND: Understanding the size, gender composition, and cadre mix of the health workforce and how it has evolved across time and locations can inform policies for planning, recruitment, training, and retention of human resources for health (HRH), and improvement of access to the health-care workforce among populations. Using comparable and standardised data sources, we aim to describe the composition and density of health workers by sex among 20 cadres for 204 countries and territories over 1990-2023 and quantify workforce shortfalls relative to universal health coverage (UHC) attainment.
METHODS: We used 1816 country-years of data from population-based surveys, 82 from censuses, 3888 from administrative sources, and 96 from scientific literature. We harmonised reported occupation in all sources with the International Standard Classification of Occupations 2008. We produced estimates for 20 cadres and the total health workforce disaggregated by sex using spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, a standardised method in the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors study. Finally, stochastic frontier meta-regression was used to estimate the minimum density of doctors, nurses and midwives, dentists, and pharmacists required to reach a score of 80 out of 100 on the UHC effective coverage index.
FINDINGS: In 2023, there were 122·1 million (95% uncertainty interval 115·4-130·5) health workers across 20 cadres, an increase of 81·2 million (72·0-90·5) or 198·5% (161·9-245·6) relative to 1990. Of that total, there were 15·1 million (13·1-18·2) doctors, 33·2 million (30·8-36·3) nurses, 2·4 million (2·0-2·9) midwives, and 7·6 million (6·7-8·6) community health workers (CHWs). 68·9% (66·9-70·6) of all health workers in 2023 were female, and female health workers accounted for 71·4% (64·5-77·4) of net HRH workforce growth. Less than half of doctors were female (43·9%, 34·5-53·2) and most nurses (80·7%, 76·2-83·1), midwives (96·0%, 83·9-98·5), and CHWs (89·5%, 83·6-93·7) were female. Substantial differences in HRH density remained into 2023: sub-Saharan Africa had the lowest HRH densities across cadres, with the exception of CHWs, while high-income countries had the highest HRH densities. To reach 80 out of 100 on the UHC index, an additional 7·1 million (6·6-7·5) doctors, 23·9 million (21·8-26·1) nurses and midwives, 1·8 million (1·6-1·9) dentists, and 1·6 million (1·4-1·9) pharmacists are required globally.
INTERPRETATION: The global health workforce has expanded substantially since 1990, largely due to women entering the formal health workforce. However, this expansion has been uneven across regions and persistent shortfalls remain in doctors, nurses and midwives, dentists, and pharmacists relative to moderate UHC attainment. Addressing these gaps will require expansion of training capacity, retention and remuneration policies for early-career workers, and gender-responsive workforce arrangements.
FUNDING: Gates Foundation.
Validation of a Point-Of-Care Ultrasound for Hepatitis Among Front-Line Healthcare Workers Managing Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection in Zambia.
(2026-Sep) Bertoni C; Kanunga A; Sinkala E; Syabbalo E; Chitundu H; Chikwezi A; Chibundi C; Muula GK; Bosomprah S; Capra N; Lolatto R; Morsica G; Castagna A; Wallrauch C; Heller T; Vinikoor MJ
To close gaps in implementing care of people with hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in resource-limited settings, we evaluated the accuracy of a novel liver point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) protocol for hepatitis (PUSH) among front-line non-radiology healthcare workers in Zambia. At University Teaching Hospital in Lusaka, Zambia, from March to June 2024, we trained four nurses and six physicians with experience in HBV management, but not in ultrasound (US), in the PUSH protocol, which includes visualizing the liver in three windows (epigastric, subcostal and right transcostal) to identify cirrhosis-suggestive features and liver lesions suspicious for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Then, consecutive adult participants with chronic hepatitis B (PWHB) alone or HBV/HIV coinfection underwent PUSH with operators blinded to clinical data. We evaluated the accuracy of PUSH for significant fibrosis and cirrhosis using transient elastography (TE) as the reference standard test (RST) and for liver lesions that were possible HCC using a comprehensive abdominal ultrasound by an experienced radiographer as the RST. Nonparametric analysis of the receiver operating curve (ROC) for PUSH was adjusted for operator type (doctor vs. nurse), sex and HIV status. Among 197 PWHBs analysed, 69.5% were taking HBV antivirals and 27.9% had HBV/HIV. According to RSTs, 17.7% of PWHBs had significant fibrosis, 11.6% had cirrhosis and 3.5% had liver lesions. PUSH had low accuracy for significant fibrosis, with sensitivity of 8.3% (17.5-41.4), specificity of 100.0% (96.1-100) and an area under the curve (AUROC) of 0.54 (0.43-0.65), moderate accuracy for cirrhosis, with sensitivity of 60.9% (38.5-80.3), specificity of 97.7% (94.2-99.4) and AUROC of 0.79 (0.69-0.89), and higher accuracy for liver lesions, with 85.7% (42.1-99.6) sensitivity, 98.4% (95.5-99.7) specificity, AUROC of 0.92 (0.78-1.00). After an expedited training, front-line nurses and physicians treating HBV in Zambia were able to use PUSH to diagnose cirrhosis with moderate accuracy and liver lesions with high accuracy, although confidence intervals around performance estimates were wide. Liver POCUS including PUSH may be useful in HBV management when laboratory systems and TE are lacking.
Pandemic prevention: UN must link spillover and human rights.
(2026-Aug-22) Phelan AL; Finch A; Gostin LO; Hassan L; Kafunda I; Plowright RK; Vora NM
Hepatitis B and C Prevention, Screening, and Diagnostic Services at HIV Treatment Sites: International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS.
(2026-Sep-01) Kuniholm MH; Murenzi G; Samala N; Yunihastuti E; Wandeler G; Kim HN; Plaisy MK; Perazzo H; Twizere C; Odhiambo F; Bopage R; Muula G; Lo Re V; Minga A; López-Iñiguez A; Nsonde DM; Kasozi C; Wati DK; Fox MP; Kirk GD; Messou E; Cesar C; Ebasone PV; Byakwaga H; Ross J; Chimbetete C; Yendewa GA; Jaquet A; Succi RCM; Maruri F; Brazier E
BACKGROUND: Prevention, screening, and diagnostic services for hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) can prevent morbidity and mortality in people receiving HIV care. However, there is limited information about the availability of HBV and HCV services at HIV clinics globally.
METHODS: The International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) conducted surveys of service delivery and practices at participating HIV treatment centers from 7 regions. We used 2023 survey data to measure availability of HBV vaccination, HBV and HCV screening, HBV surface antigen (HBsAg), HBV DNA, HCV antibody, and HCV RNA testing. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to test associations of site characteristics with HBV and HCV services.
RESULTS: HBV vaccination was available on-site at 67.7% of 204 HIV treatment sites. Screening for HBV and HCV at HIV care enrollment was reported by 72.1% and 50% of sites, respectively. HBsAg, HBV DNA, HCV antibody, and HCV RNA testing were available on-site at 77%, 47.6%, 61.8%, and 44.6% of sites, respectively. Sites serving predominately rural (vs. urban) populations were less likely to report on-site availability of HBV DNA [odds ratio (OR):0.07; 95% confidence interval: 0.01 to 0.68; P = 0.02], HCV antibody (OR = 0.18; 95% CI: 0.04 to 0.92; P = 0.04), and HCV RNA (OR = 0.10; 95% CI: 0.01 to 0.90; P = 0.04) testing.
CONCLUSION: Life-saving services such as HBV vaccination, HBsAg, and HCV antibody testing were available on-site at most HIV treatment sites participating in the IeDEA network. Lower availability at rural sites suggests that expansion of services is important to eliminate HBV and HCV as public health problems in people receiving HIV care.
Spectral fingerprinting by FTIR microspectroscopy enables differentiation of Gram status, strain variability and resistance phenotypes among diabetic foot infection isolates
(2026-10) Jaber Deema; Mansour Randa; Khalil Enam; Albsoul-Younes Abla; Younes Nidal; Yousef Ibraheem; Al-Bakri Amal G.