Browsing by Author "Fatti G"

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Associations of inter-annual rainfall decreases with subsequent HIV outcomes for persons with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in Southern Africa: a collaborative analysis of cohort studies.
(2023-Dec-19) Trickey A; Johnson LF; Fung F; Bonifacio R; Iwuji C; Biraro S; Bosomprah S; Chirimuta L; Euvrard J; Fatti G; Fox MP; Von Groote P; Gumulira J; Howard G; Jennings L; Kiragga A; Muula G; Tanser F; Wagener T; Low A; Vickerman P; Centre for Epidemic Response and Innovation, School of Data Science and Computational Thinking, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.; Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; Desmond Tutu Health Foundation, Institute of Infectious Diseases and Molecular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Behavioural Science and Evaluation at University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; UK Meteorological Office, Exeter, UK.; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Lighthouse Trust, Mzimba, Malawi.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.; Department of Civil Engineering and Cabot Institute of the Environment, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; Climate and Earth Observation Unit, Research Assessment and Monitoring Division, World Food Programme HQ, Rome, Italy.; Research Division, African Population and Health Research Center, Nairobi, Kenya.; Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. adam.trickey@bristol.ac.uk.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Department of Global Health Infection, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, University of Sussex, Brighton, UK.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Africa Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.; ICAP at Columbia University, Nakasero, Kampala, Uganda.; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana.; Department of Global Health and Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: Periods of droughts can lead to decreased food security, and altered behaviours, potentially affecting outcomes on antiretroviral therapy (ART) among persons with HIV (PWH). We investigated whether decreased rainfall is associated with adverse outcomes among PWH on ART in Southern Africa. METHODS: Data were combined from 11 clinical cohorts of PWH in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa (IeDEA-SA) collaboration. Adult PWH who had started ART prior to 01/06/2016 and were in follow-up in the year prior to 01/06/2016 were included. Two-year rainfall from June 2014 to May 2016 at the location of each HIV centre was summed and ranked against historical 2-year rainfall amounts (1981-2016) to give an empirical relative percentile rainfall estimate. The IeDEA-SA and rainfall data were combined using each HIV centre's latitude/longitude. In individual-level analyses, multivariable Cox or generalized estimating equation regression models (GEEs) assessed associations between decreased rainfall versus historical levels and four separate outcomes (mortality, CD4 counts < 200 cells/mm RESULTS: Among 270,708 PWH across 386 HIV centres (67% female, median age 39 [IQR: 32-46]), lower rainfall than usual was associated with higher mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio: 1.18 [95%CI: 1.07-1.32] per 10 percentile rainfall rank decrease) and unsuppressed viral loads (adjusted Odds Ratio: 1.05 [1.01-1.09]). Levels of rainfall were not strongly associated with CD4 counts < 200 cell/mm CONCLUSIONS: Decreased rainfall could negatively impact on HIV treatment behaviours and outcomes. Further research is needed to explore the reasons for these effects. Interventions to mitigate the health impact of severe weather events are required.
Characteristics and outcomes of adolescents living with perinatally acquired HIV within Southern Africa.
(2020-Dec-01) Tsondai PR; Braithwaite K; Fatti G; Bolton Moore C; Chimbetete C; Rabie H; Phiri S; Sawry S; Eley B; Hobbins MA; Boulle A; Taghavi K; Sohn AH; Davies MA; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Harriet Shezi Children's Clinic, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Sciences, Johannesburg.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Lilongwe, Malawi.; Kheth' Impilo, AIDS Free Living, Cape Town.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; Empilweni Services and Research Unit, Department of Paediatrics & Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg.; Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; TREAT Asia/amfAR - The Foundation for AIDS Research, Bangkok, Thailand.; Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Alabama, USA.; Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Tygerberg Hospital, Stellenbosch University, Parow, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Research & Quality Unit, SolidarMed, Lucerne.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: Using data from 15 International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa sites, we compared the characteristics and outcomes of adolescents living with perinatally acquired HIV (ALPH). METHODS: We included ALPH entering care aged less than 13 years with at least one HIV care visit during adolescence (10-19 years). We compared the characteristics and cross-sectional outcomes: transfer out, loss to follow-up (no visit in the 12 months prior to database closure), mortality, and retention between those who entered care aged less than 10 vs. aged 10-13 years; and explored predictors of mortality after age 13 years using Cox Proportional Hazards models. RESULTS: Overall, 16 229 (50% female) ALPH who entered HIV care aged less than 10 years and 8897 (54% female) aged 10-13 years were included and followed for 152 574 person-years. During follow-up, 94.1% initiated antiretroviral therapy, with those who entered care aged less than 10 more likely to have initiated antiretroviral therapy [97.9%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 97.6; 98.1%] than those who presented aged 10-13 years (87.3%, 95% CI 86.6; 88.0%). At the end of follow-up, 3% had died (entered care aged <10 vs. 10-13 years; 1.4 vs. 5.1%), 22% were loss to follow-up (16.2 vs. 33.4%), and 59% (66.4 vs. 45.4%) were retained. There was no difference in the risk of dying after the age of 13 years between adolescents entering care aged less than 10 vs. 10-13 years (adjusted hazard ratio 0.72; 95% CI 0.36; 1.42). CONCLUSION: Retention outcomes for ALPH progressively worsened with increasing age, with these outcomes substantially worse among adolescents entering HIV care aged 10-13 vs. less than 10 years.
Characterizing the double-sided cascade of care for adolescents living with HIV transitioning to adulthood across Southern Africa.
(2020-Jan) Tsondai PR; Sohn AH; Phiri S; Sikombe K; Sawry S; Chimbetete C; Fatti G; Hobbins MA; Technau KG; Rabie H; Bernheimer J; Fox MP; Judd A; Collins IJ; Davies MA; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Lilongwe, Malawi.; Empilweni Services and Research Unit, Department of Paediatrics & Child Health, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; TREAT Asia/amfAR - The Foundation for AIDS Research, Bangkok, Thailand.; SolidarMed, Luzern, Switzerland.; Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Tygerberg Academic Hospital, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa.; Harriet Shezi Children's Clinic, Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Research Unit, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Médecins Sans Frontiers, Khayelitsha, South Africa.; Kheth'Impilo, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of Global Health and Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
INTRODUCTION: As adolescents and young people living with HIV (AYLH) age, they face a "transition cascade," a series of steps associated with transitions in their care as they become responsible for their own healthcare. In high-income countries, this usually includes transfer from predominantly paediatric/adolescent to adult clinics. In sub-Saharan Africa, paediatric HIV care is mostly provided in decentralized, non-specialist primary care clinics, where "transition" may not necessarily include transfer of care but entails becoming more autonomous for one's HIV care. Using different age thresholds as proxies for when "transition" to autonomy might occur, we evaluated pre- and post-transition outcomes among AYLH. METHODS: We included AYLH aged <16 years at enrolment, receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) within International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa (IeDEA-SA) sites (2004 to 2017) with no history of transferring care. Using the ages of 16, 18, 20 and 22 years as proxies for "transition to autonomy," we compared the outcomes: no gap in care (≥2 clinic visits) and viral suppression (HIV-RNA <400 copies/mL) in the 12 months before and after each age threshold. Using log-binomial regression, we examined factors associated with no gap in care (retention) in the 12 months post-transition. RESULTS: A total of 5516 AYLH from 16 sites were included at "transition" age 16 (transition-16y), 3864 at 18 (transition-18y), 1463 at 20 (transition-20y) and 440 at 22 years (transition-22y). At transition-18y, in the 12 months pre- and post-transition, 83% versus 74% of AYLH had no gap in care (difference 9.3 (95% confidence interval (CI) 7.8 to 10.9)); while 65% versus 62% were virally suppressed (difference 2.7 (-1.0 to 6.5%)). The strongest predictor of being retained post-transition was having no gap in the preceding year, across all transition age thresholds (transition-16y: adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.72; 95% CI (1.60 to 1.86); transition-18y: aRR 1.76 (1.61 to 1.92); transition-20y: aRR 1.75 (1.53 to 2.01); transition-22y: aRR 1.47; (1.21 to 1.78)). CONCLUSIONS: AYLH with gaps in care need targeted support to prevent non-retention as they take on greater responsibility for their healthcare. Interventions to increase virologic suppression rates are necessary for all AYLH ageing to adulthood.
Effect of antiretroviral therapy care interruptions on mortality in children living with HIV.
(2022-Apr-01) Davies C; Johnson L; Sawry S; Chimbetete C; Eley B; Vinikoor M; Technau KG; Ehmer J; Rabie H; Phiri S; Tanser F; Malisita K; Fatti G; Osler M; Wood R; Newton S; Haas A; Davies MA; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Somkhele, South Africa.; Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town.; School of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana.; Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Tygerberg Academic Hospital, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa.; Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Harriet Shezi Children's Clinic, Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital, Soweto, South Africa.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Switzerland.; Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Stellenbosch University.; Gugulethu HIV Programme and Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; SolidarMed, Lucerne, Switzerland.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Kamuzu Central Hospital, Lilongwe, Malaysia.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Empilweni Services and Research Unit, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the characteristics and outcomes of HIV-infected children that have care interruptions, during which the child's health status and use of medication is unknown. DESIGN: We included data on children initiating ART between 2004 and 2016 at less than 16 years old at 16 International Epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa cohorts. Children were classified as loss to follow up (LTFU) if they had not attended clinic for more than 180 days. Children had a care interruption if they were classified as LTFU, and subsequently returned to care. Children who died within 180 days of ART start were excluded. METHODS: The main outcome was all cause mortality. Two exposed groups were considered: those with a first care interruption within the first 6 months on ART, and those with a first care interruption after 6 months on ART. Adjusted hazard ratios were determined using a Cox regression model. RESULTS: Among 53 674 children included, 23 437 (44%) had a care interruption, of which 10 629 (20%) had a first care interruption within 6 months on ART and 12 808 (24%) had a first care interruption after 6 months on ART. Increased mortality was associated with a care interruption within 6 months on ART [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 1.52, 95% CI 1.12-2.04] but not with a care interruption after 6 months on ART (AHR = 1.05, 95% CI 0.77-1.44). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that strengthening retention of children in care in the early period after ART initiation is critical to improving paediatric ART outcomes.
Implementation and Operational Research: Risk Charts to Guide Targeted HIV-1 Viral Load Monitoring of ART: Development and Validation in Patients From Resource-Limited Settings.
(2015-Nov-01) Koller M; Fatti G; Chi BH; Keiser O; Hoffmann CJ; Wood R; Prozesky H; Stinson K; Giddy J; Mutevedzi P; Fox MP; Law M; Boulle A; Egger M; *Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; †Kheth'Impilo, Cape Town, South Africa; ‡Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia; §Aurum Institute for Health Research, Johannesburg, South Africa; ‖Gugulethu ART Programme and Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; ¶Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Stellenbosch and Tygerberg Academic Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa; #Médecins Sans Frontières, Khayelitsha, Cape Town, South Africa; **Sinikithemba Clinic, McCord Hospital, Durban, South Africa; ††Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Somkhele, South Africa; ‡‡Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; §§Center for Global Health & Development and Department of Epidemiology, Boston University, Boston, MA; ‖‖Biostatistics and Databases Program, The Kirby Institute, Faculty of Medicine, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; and ¶¶Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: HIV-1 RNA viral load (VL) testing is recommended to monitor antiretroviral therapy (ART) but not available in many resource-limited settings. We developed and validated CD4-based risk charts to guide targeted VL testing. METHODS: We modeled the probability of virologic failure up to 5 years of ART based on current and baseline CD4 counts, developed decision rules for targeted VL testing of 10%, 20%, or 40% of patients in 7 cohorts of patients starting ART in South Africa, and plotted cutoffs for VL testing on colour-coded risk charts. We assessed the accuracy of risk chart-guided VL testing to detect virologic failure in validation cohorts from South Africa, Zambia, and the Asia-Pacific. RESULTS: In total, 31,450 adult patients were included in the derivation and 25,294 patients in the validation cohorts. Positive predictive values increased with the percentage of patients tested: from 79% (10% tested) to 98% (40% tested) in the South African cohort, from 64% to 93% in the Zambian cohort, and from 73% to 96% in the Asia-Pacific cohort. Corresponding increases in sensitivity were from 35% to 68% in South Africa, from 55% to 82% in Zambia, and from 37% to 71% in Asia-Pacific. The area under the receiver operating curve increased from 0.75 to 0.91 in South Africa, from 0.76 to 0.91 in Zambia, and from 0.77 to 0.92 in Asia-Pacific. CONCLUSIONS: CD4-based risk charts with optimal cutoffs for targeted VL testing maybe useful to monitor ART in settings where VL capacity is limited.
Medication Side Effects and Retention in HIV Treatment: A Regression Discontinuity Study of Tenofovir Implementation in South Africa and Zambia.
(2018-Sep-01) Brennan AT; Bor J; Davies MA; Wandeler G; Prozesky H; Fatti G; Wood R; Stinson K; Tanser F; Bärnighausen T; Boulle A; Sikazwe I; Zanolini A; Fox MP; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Center for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Research Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.; Department of Health, Provincial Government of the Western Cape, Cape Town, South Africa.; Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of Infectious Diseases, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Institute of Public Health, School of Medicine, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Academic Hospital, University of Stellenbosch, Cape Town, South Africa.; Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, South Africa.; The Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
Tenofovir is less toxic than other nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors used in antiretroviral therapy (ART) and may improve retention of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients on ART. We assessed the impact of national guideline changes in South Africa (2010) and Zambia (2007) recommending tenofovir for first-line ART. We applied regression discontinuity in a prospective cohort study of 52,294 HIV-infected adults initiating first-line ART within 12 months (±12 months) of each guideline change. We compared outcomes in patients presenting just before and after the guideline changes using local linear regression and estimated intention-to-treat effects on initiation of tenofovir, retention in care, and other treatment outcomes at 24 months. We assessed complier causal effects among patients starting tenofovir. The new guidelines increased the percentages of patients initiating tenofovir in South Africa (risk difference (RD) = 81 percentage points, 95% confidence interval (CI): 73, 89) and Zambia (RD = 42 percentage points, 95% CI: 38, 45). With the guideline change, the percentage of single-drug substitutions decreased substantially in South Africa (RD = -15 percentage points, 95% CI: -18, -12). Starting tenofovir also reduced attrition in Zambia (intent-to-treat RD = -1.8% (95% CI: -3.5, -0.1); complier relative risk = 0.74) but not in South Africa (RD = -0.9% (95% CI: -5.9, 4.1); complier relative risk = 0.94). These results highlight the importance of reducing side effects for increasing retention in care, as well as the differences in population impact of policies with heterogeneous treatment effects implemented in different contexts.
Temporal Trends in Co-trimoxazole Use Among Children on Antiretroviral Therapy and the Impact of Co-trimoxazole on Mortality Rates in Children Without Severe Immunodeficiency.
(2019-Nov-06) Boettiger DC; Law MG; Sohn AH; Davies MA; Wools-Kaloustian K; Leroy V; Yotebieng M; Vinikoor M; Vreeman R; Amorissani-Folquet M; Edmonds A; Fatti G; Batte J; Renner L; Adedimeji A; Kariminia A; INSERM, Laboratoire d'Epidémiologie et Analyses en Santé Publique (LEASP)-UMR 1027, Toulouse, France.; Department of Paediatrics, University Hospital of Cocody, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.; Rakai Health Science Program, Uganda.; Department of Paediatrics, Korlebu Hospital, Accra, Ghana.; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.; College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus.; TREAT Asia/amfAR-Foundation for AIDS Research, Bangkok, Thailand.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, South Africa.; Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.; Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis.; The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
BACKGROUND: Co-trimoxazole is recommended for all children with human immunodeficiency virus. In this analysis, we evaluate trends in pediatric co-trimoxazole use and survival on co-trimoxazole in children using antiretroviral therapy (ART). METHODS: We used data collected between January 1, 2006, and March 31, 2016, from the International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS. Logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with using co-trimoxazole at ART initiation. Competing risk regression was used to assess factors associated with death. RESULTS: A total of 54113 children were included in this study. The prevalence of co-trimoxazole use at ART initiation increased from 66.5% in 2006 to a peak of 85.6% in 2010 and then declined to 48.5% in 2015-2016. A similar trend was observed among children who started ART with severe immunodeficiency. After adjusting for year of ART initiation, younger age (odds ratio [OR], 1.18 for <1 vs 1 to <5 years of age [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.09-1.28]), lower height-for-age z score (OR, 1.15 for less than -3 vs greater than -2 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22]), anemia (OR, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02-1.15]), severe immunodeficiency (OR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.18-1.32]), and receiving care in East Africa (OR, 8.97 vs Southern Africa [95% CI, 8.17-9.85]) were associated with a high prevalence of co-trimoxazole use. Survival did not differ according to co-trimoxazole use in children without severe immunodeficiency (hazard ratio, 1.01 for nonusers versus users [95% CI, 0.77-1.34]). CONCLUSIONS: Recent declines in co-trimoxazole use may not be linked to the current shift toward early ART initiation. Randomized trial data might be needed to establish the survival benefit of co-trimoxazole in children without severe immunodeficiency.
Trends in CD4 and viral load testing 2005 to 2018: multi-cohort study of people living with HIV in Southern Africa.
(2020-Jul) Zaniewski E; Dao Ostinelli CH; Chammartin F; Maxwell N; Davies MA; Euvrard J; van Dijk J; Bosomprah S; Phiri S; Tanser F; Sipambo N; Muhairwe J; Fatti G; Prozesky H; Wood R; Ford N; Fox MP; Egger M; Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.; Department of Global Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; Lighthouse, Lilongwe, Malawi.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; SolidarMed, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; SolidarMed, Maseru, Lesotho.; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.; Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Gugulethu ART Programme (Desmond Tutu HIV Centre), Cape Town, South Africa.; Lincoln International Institute for Rural Health, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, United Kingdom.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of HIV/AIDS and Global Hepatitis Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.; Africa Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a CD4 cell count before starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) to detect advanced HIV disease, and routine viral load (VL) testing following ART initiation to detect treatment failure. Donor support for CD4 testing has declined to prioritize access to VL monitoring. We examined trends in CD4 and VL testing among adults (≥15 years of age) starting ART in Southern Africa. METHODS: We analysed data from 14 HIV treatment programmes in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe in 2005 to 2018. We examined the frequency of CD4 and VL testing, the percentage of adults with CD4 or VL tests, and among those having a test, the percentage starting ART with advanced HIV disease (CD4 count <200 cells/mm RESULTS: Among 502,456 adults, the percentage with CD4 testing at ART initiation decreased from a high of 78.1% in 2008 to a low of 38.0% in 2017; the probability declined by 14% each year (odds ratio (OR) 0.86; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.86). Frequency of CD4 testing also declined. The percentage starting ART with advanced HIV disease declined from 83.3% in 2005 to 23.5% in 2018; each year the probability declined by 20% (OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.80 to 0.81). VL testing after starting ART varied; 61.0% of adults in South Africa and 10.7% in Malawi were tested, but fewer than 2% were tested in the other four countries. The probability of VL testing after ART start increased only modestly each year (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.06). The percentage with unsuppressed VL was 8.6%. There was no evidence of a decrease in unsuppressed VL over time (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.01). CONCLUSIONS: CD4 cell counting declined over time, including testing at the start of ART, despite the fact that many patients still initiated ART with advanced HIV disease. Without CD4 testing and expanded VL testing many patients with advanced HIV disease and treatment failure may go undetected, threatening the effectiveness of ART in sub-Saharan Africa.