Browsing by Author "Niyongabo T"
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Item Retention and mortality on antiretroviral therapy in sub-Saharan Africa: collaborative analyses of HIV treatment programmes.(2018-Feb) Haas AD; Zaniewski E; Anderegg N; Ford N; Fox MP; Vinikoor M; Dabis F; Nash D; Sinayobye JD; Niyongabo T; Tanon A; Poda A; Adedimeji AA; Edmonds A; Davies MA; Egger M; Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la santé, Université Polytechnique de Bobo-Dioulasso, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso.; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, City University of New York, School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.; Institute for Implementation Science in Population Health, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA.; Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine and Montefiore Medical Center, Bronx, NY, USA.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; ISPED, Centre Inserm U1219-Bordeaux Population Health, Université de Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France.; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; World Health Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland.; Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.; Rwanda Military Hospital, Kigali, Rwanda.; Service de Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales (SMIT), CHU de Treichville, Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire.; Centre National de Reference en Matiere de VIH/SIDA (CNR), Bujumbura, Burundi.; School of Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Institute of Social & Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Department of Epidemiology, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)INTRODUCTION: By 2020, 90% of all people diagnosed with HIV should receive long-term combination antiretroviral therapy (ART). In sub-Saharan Africa, this target is threatened by loss to follow-up in ART programmes. The proportion of people retained on ART long-term cannot be easily determined, because individuals classified as lost to follow-up, may have self-transferred to another HIV treatment programme, or may have died. We describe retention on ART in sub-Saharan Africa, first based on observed data as recorded in the clinic databases, and second adjusted for undocumented deaths and self-transfers. METHODS: We analysed data from HIV-infected adults and children initiating ART between 2009 and 2014 at a sub-Saharan African HIV treatment programme participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA). We used the Kaplan-Meier method to calculate the cumulative incidence of retention on ART and the Aalen-Johansen method to calculate the cumulative incidences of death, loss to follow-up, and stopping ART. We used inverse probability weighting to adjust clinic data for undocumented mortality and self-transfer, based on estimates from a recent systematic review and meta-analysis. RESULTS: We included 505,634 patients: 12,848 (2.5%) from Central Africa, 109,233 (21.6%) from East Africa, 347,343 (68.7%) from Southern Africa and 36,210 (7.2%) from West Africa. In crude analyses of observed clinic data, 52.1% of patients were retained on ART, 41.8% were lost to follow-up and 6.0% had died 5 years after ART initiation. After accounting for undocumented deaths and self-transfers, we estimated that 66.6% of patients were retained on ART, 18.8% had stopped ART and 14.7% had died at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Improving long-term retention on ART will be crucial to attaining the 90% on ART target. Naïve analyses of HIV cohort studies, which do not account for undocumented mortality and self-transfer of patients, may severely underestimate both mortality and retention on ART.