Browsing by Author "Tanser F"

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    Access to antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected children aged 0-19 years in the International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) Global Cohort Consortium, 2004-2015: A prospective cohort study.
    (2018-May) Desmonde S; Tanser F; Vreeman R; Takassi E; Edmonds A; Lumbiganon P; Pinto J; Malateste K; McGowan C; Kariminia A; Yotebieng M; Dicko F; Yiannoutsos C; Mubiana-Mbewe M; Wools-Kaloustian K; Davies MA; Leroy V; Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Somkhele, South Africa.; Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public Health, Indiana University, Indianapolis, Indiana, United States of America.; Inserm U1027, Toulouse III University, Toulouse, France.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Inserm U1219, University of Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France.; Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.; CHU Sylvanus Olympio, Lomé, Togo.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.; Hopital Gabriel Touré, Bamako, Mali.; Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.; School of Medicine, Universide Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.; School of Medicine, Indiana University, Indianapolis, Indiana, United States of America.; Bordeaux School of Public Health, University of Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France.; Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, United States of America.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
    INTRODUCTION: Access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) is a global priority. However, the attrition across the continuum of care for HIV-infected children between their HIV diagnosis and ART initiation is not well known. We analyzed the time from enrollment into HIV care to ART initiation in HIV-infected children within the International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) Global Cohort Consortium. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We included 135,479 HIV-1-infected children, aged 0-19 years and ART-naïve at enrollment, between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2015, in IeDEA cohorts from Central Africa (3 countries; n = 4,948), East Africa (3 countries; n = 22,827), West Africa (7 countries; n = 7,372), Southern Africa (6 countries; n = 93,799), Asia-Pacific (6 countries; n = 4,045), and Latin America (7 countries; n = 2,488). Follow-up in these cohorts is typically every 3-6 months. We described time to ART initiation and missed opportunities (death or loss to follow-up [LTFU]: last clinical visit >6 months) since baseline (the date of HIV diagnosis or, if unavailable, date of enrollment). Cumulative incidence functions (CIFs) for and determinants of ART initiation were computed, with death and LTFU as competing risks. Among the 135,479 children included, 99,404 (73.4%) initiated ART, 1.9% died, 1.4% were transferred out, and 20.4% were lost to follow-up before ART initiation. The 24-month CIF for ART initiation was 68.2% (95% CI: 67.9%-68.4%); it was lower in sub-Saharan Africa-ranging from 49.8% (95% CI: 48.4%-51.2%) in Central Africa to 72.5% (95% CI: 71.5%-73.5%) in West Africa-compared to Latin America (71.0%, 95% CI: 69.1%-72.7%) and the Asia-Pacific (78.3%, 95% CI: 76.9%-79.6%). Adolescents aged 15-19 years and infants <1 year had the lowest cumulative incidence of ART initiation compared to other ages: 62.2% (95% CI: 61.6%-62.8%) and 66.4% (95% CI: 65.7%-67.0%), respectively. Overall, 49.1% were ART-eligible per local guidelines at baseline, of whom 80.6% initiated ART. The following children had lower cumulative incidence of ART initiation: female children (p < 0.01); those aged <1 year, 2-4 years, 5-9 years, and 15-19 years (versus those aged 10-14 years, p < 0.01); those who became eligible during follow-up (versus eligible at enrollment, p < 0.01); and those receiving care in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (p < 0.01). The main limitations of our study include left truncation and survivor bias, caused by deaths of children prior to enrollment, and use of enrollment date as a proxy for missing data on date of HIV diagnosis, which could have led to underestimation of the time between HIV diagnosis and ART initiation. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, 68% of HIV-infected children initiated ART by 24 months. However, there was a substantial risk of LTFU before ART initiation, which may also represent undocumented mortality. In 2015, many obstacles to ART initiation remained, with substantial inequities. More effective and targeted interventions to improve access are needed to reach the target of treating 90% of HIV-infected children with ART.
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    Associations of inter-annual rainfall decreases with subsequent HIV outcomes for persons with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in Southern Africa: a collaborative analysis of cohort studies.
    (2023-Dec-19) Trickey A; Johnson LF; Fung F; Bonifacio R; Iwuji C; Biraro S; Bosomprah S; Chirimuta L; Euvrard J; Fatti G; Fox MP; Von Groote P; Gumulira J; Howard G; Jennings L; Kiragga A; Muula G; Tanser F; Wagener T; Low A; Vickerman P; Centre for Epidemic Response and Innovation, School of Data Science and Computational Thinking, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.; Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; Desmond Tutu Health Foundation, Institute of Infectious Diseases and Molecular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Behavioural Science and Evaluation at University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; UK Meteorological Office, Exeter, UK.; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Lighthouse Trust, Mzimba, Malawi.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.; Department of Civil Engineering and Cabot Institute of the Environment, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; Climate and Earth Observation Unit, Research Assessment and Monitoring Division, World Food Programme HQ, Rome, Italy.; Research Division, African Population and Health Research Center, Nairobi, Kenya.; Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. adam.trickey@bristol.ac.uk.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Department of Global Health Infection, Brighton and Sussex Medical School, University of Sussex, Brighton, UK.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Africa Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.; ICAP at Columbia University, Nakasero, Kampala, Uganda.; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana.; Department of Global Health and Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.; Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
    BACKGROUND: Periods of droughts can lead to decreased food security, and altered behaviours, potentially affecting outcomes on antiretroviral therapy (ART) among persons with HIV (PWH). We investigated whether decreased rainfall is associated with adverse outcomes among PWH on ART in Southern Africa. METHODS: Data were combined from 11 clinical cohorts of PWH in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, participating in the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa (IeDEA-SA) collaboration. Adult PWH who had started ART prior to 01/06/2016 and were in follow-up in the year prior to 01/06/2016 were included. Two-year rainfall from June 2014 to May 2016 at the location of each HIV centre was summed and ranked against historical 2-year rainfall amounts (1981-2016) to give an empirical relative percentile rainfall estimate. The IeDEA-SA and rainfall data were combined using each HIV centre's latitude/longitude. In individual-level analyses, multivariable Cox or generalized estimating equation regression models (GEEs) assessed associations between decreased rainfall versus historical levels and four separate outcomes (mortality, CD4 counts < 200 cells/mm RESULTS: Among 270,708 PWH across 386 HIV centres (67% female, median age 39 [IQR: 32-46]), lower rainfall than usual was associated with higher mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio: 1.18 [95%CI: 1.07-1.32] per 10 percentile rainfall rank decrease) and unsuppressed viral loads (adjusted Odds Ratio: 1.05 [1.01-1.09]). Levels of rainfall were not strongly associated with CD4 counts < 200 cell/mm CONCLUSIONS: Decreased rainfall could negatively impact on HIV treatment behaviours and outcomes. Further research is needed to explore the reasons for these effects. Interventions to mitigate the health impact of severe weather events are required.
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    Effect of antiretroviral therapy care interruptions on mortality in children living with HIV.
    (2022-Apr-01) Davies C; Johnson L; Sawry S; Chimbetete C; Eley B; Vinikoor M; Technau KG; Ehmer J; Rabie H; Phiri S; Tanser F; Malisita K; Fatti G; Osler M; Wood R; Newton S; Haas A; Davies MA; Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe.; Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Somkhele, South Africa.; Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital and Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town.; School of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana.; Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Tygerberg Academic Hospital, University of Stellenbosch, Stellenbosch, South Africa.; Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, Harriet Shezi Children's Clinic, Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital, Soweto, South Africa.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Switzerland.; Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Stellenbosch University.; Gugulethu HIV Programme and Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; SolidarMed, Lucerne, Switzerland.; Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Kamuzu Central Hospital, Lilongwe, Malaysia.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Empilweni Services and Research Unit, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the characteristics and outcomes of HIV-infected children that have care interruptions, during which the child's health status and use of medication is unknown. DESIGN: We included data on children initiating ART between 2004 and 2016 at less than 16 years old at 16 International Epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS Southern Africa cohorts. Children were classified as loss to follow up (LTFU) if they had not attended clinic for more than 180 days. Children had a care interruption if they were classified as LTFU, and subsequently returned to care. Children who died within 180 days of ART start were excluded. METHODS: The main outcome was all cause mortality. Two exposed groups were considered: those with a first care interruption within the first 6 months on ART, and those with a first care interruption after 6 months on ART. Adjusted hazard ratios were determined using a Cox regression model. RESULTS: Among 53 674 children included, 23 437 (44%) had a care interruption, of which 10 629 (20%) had a first care interruption within 6 months on ART and 12 808 (24%) had a first care interruption after 6 months on ART. Increased mortality was associated with a care interruption within 6 months on ART [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 1.52, 95% CI 1.12-2.04] but not with a care interruption after 6 months on ART (AHR = 1.05, 95% CI 0.77-1.44). CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that strengthening retention of children in care in the early period after ART initiation is critical to improving paediatric ART outcomes.
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    Medication Side Effects and Retention in HIV Treatment: A Regression Discontinuity Study of Tenofovir Implementation in South Africa and Zambia.
    (2018-Sep-01) Brennan AT; Bor J; Davies MA; Wandeler G; Prozesky H; Fatti G; Wood R; Stinson K; Tanser F; Bärnighausen T; Boulle A; Sikazwe I; Zanolini A; Fox MP; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Center for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; Research Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.; Department of Health, Provincial Government of the Western Cape, Cape Town, South Africa.; Division of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of Infectious Diseases, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Institute of Public Health, School of Medicine, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Academic Hospital, University of Stellenbosch, Cape Town, South Africa.; Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, South Africa.; The Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
    Tenofovir is less toxic than other nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors used in antiretroviral therapy (ART) and may improve retention of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients on ART. We assessed the impact of national guideline changes in South Africa (2010) and Zambia (2007) recommending tenofovir for first-line ART. We applied regression discontinuity in a prospective cohort study of 52,294 HIV-infected adults initiating first-line ART within 12 months (±12 months) of each guideline change. We compared outcomes in patients presenting just before and after the guideline changes using local linear regression and estimated intention-to-treat effects on initiation of tenofovir, retention in care, and other treatment outcomes at 24 months. We assessed complier causal effects among patients starting tenofovir. The new guidelines increased the percentages of patients initiating tenofovir in South Africa (risk difference (RD) = 81 percentage points, 95% confidence interval (CI): 73, 89) and Zambia (RD = 42 percentage points, 95% CI: 38, 45). With the guideline change, the percentage of single-drug substitutions decreased substantially in South Africa (RD = -15 percentage points, 95% CI: -18, -12). Starting tenofovir also reduced attrition in Zambia (intent-to-treat RD = -1.8% (95% CI: -3.5, -0.1); complier relative risk = 0.74) but not in South Africa (RD = -0.9% (95% CI: -5.9, 4.1); complier relative risk = 0.94). These results highlight the importance of reducing side effects for increasing retention in care, as well as the differences in population impact of policies with heterogeneous treatment effects implemented in different contexts.
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    Outcomes of Infants Starting Antiretroviral Therapy in Southern Africa, 2004-2012.
    (2015-Aug-15) Porter M; Davies MA; Mapani MK; Rabie H; Phiri S; Nuttall J; Fairlie L; Technau KG; Stinson K; Wood R; Wellington M; Haas AD; Giddy J; Tanser F; Eley B; *School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; †MMed Paeds and Child Health (UNZA), Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia; ‡Tygerberg Academic Hospital and Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa; §Lighthouse Trust Clinic, Lilongwe, Malawi; ‖Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa; ¶School of Child and Adolescent Health, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; #Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute (Wits RHI), University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; **Empilweni Services and Research Unit, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Rahima Moosa Mother and Child Hospital and University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; ††Médecins Sans Frontierès, Khayelitsha and School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; ‡‡Gugulethu Community Health Centre and Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Diseases and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; §§Newlands Clinic, Harare, Zimbabwe; ‖‖Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (ISPM), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; ¶¶McCord Hospital, Durban, South Africa; and ##Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Somkhele, South Africa.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
    BACKGROUND: There are limited published data on the outcomes of infants starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) in routine care in Southern Africa. This study aimed to examine the baseline characteristics and outcomes of infants initiating ART. METHODS: We analyzed prospectively collected cohort data from routine ART initiation in infants from 11 cohorts contributing to the International Epidemiologic Database to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa. We included ART-naive HIV-infected infants aged <12 months initiating ≥3 antiretroviral drugs between 2004 and 2012. Kaplan-Meier estimates were calculated for mortality, loss to follow-up (LTFU), transfer out, and virological suppression. We used Cox proportional hazard models stratified by cohort to determine baseline characteristics associated with outcomes mortality and virological suppression. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) age at ART initiation of 4945 infants was 5.9 months (3.7-8.7) with follow-up of 11.2 months (2.8-20.0). At ART initiation, 77% had WHO clinical stage 3 or 4 disease and 87% were severely immunosuppressed. Three-year mortality probability was 16% and LTFU 29%. Severe immunosuppression, WHO stage 3 or 4, anemia, being severely underweight, and initiation of treatment before 2010 were associated with higher mortality. At 12 months after ART initiation, 17% of infants were severely immunosuppressed and the probability of attaining virological suppression was 56%. CONCLUSIONS: Most infants initiating ART in Southern Africa had severe disease with high probability of LTFU and mortality on ART. Although the majority of infants remaining in care showed immune recovery and virological suppression, these responses were suboptimal.
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    Trends in CD4 and viral load testing 2005 to 2018: multi-cohort study of people living with HIV in Southern Africa.
    (2020-Jul) Zaniewski E; Dao Ostinelli CH; Chammartin F; Maxwell N; Davies MA; Euvrard J; van Dijk J; Bosomprah S; Phiri S; Tanser F; Sipambo N; Muhairwe J; Fatti G; Prozesky H; Wood R; Ford N; Fox MP; Egger M; Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.; Department of Global Health, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.; Kheth'Impilo AIDS Free Living, Cape Town, South Africa.; Lighthouse, Lilongwe, Malawi.; Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; SolidarMed, Masvingo, Zimbabwe.; Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa (CAPRISA), University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; SolidarMed, Maseru, Lesotho.; Department of Epidemiology, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.; Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa.; Gugulethu ART Programme (Desmond Tutu HIV Centre), Cape Town, South Africa.; Lincoln International Institute for Rural Health, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, United Kingdom.; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.; Department of HIV/AIDS and Global Hepatitis Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.; Africa Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.; Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.; School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.; CIDRZ; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia (CIDRZ)
    INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a CD4 cell count before starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) to detect advanced HIV disease, and routine viral load (VL) testing following ART initiation to detect treatment failure. Donor support for CD4 testing has declined to prioritize access to VL monitoring. We examined trends in CD4 and VL testing among adults (≥15 years of age) starting ART in Southern Africa. METHODS: We analysed data from 14 HIV treatment programmes in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe in 2005 to 2018. We examined the frequency of CD4 and VL testing, the percentage of adults with CD4 or VL tests, and among those having a test, the percentage starting ART with advanced HIV disease (CD4 count <200 cells/mm RESULTS: Among 502,456 adults, the percentage with CD4 testing at ART initiation decreased from a high of 78.1% in 2008 to a low of 38.0% in 2017; the probability declined by 14% each year (odds ratio (OR) 0.86; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.86). Frequency of CD4 testing also declined. The percentage starting ART with advanced HIV disease declined from 83.3% in 2005 to 23.5% in 2018; each year the probability declined by 20% (OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.80 to 0.81). VL testing after starting ART varied; 61.0% of adults in South Africa and 10.7% in Malawi were tested, but fewer than 2% were tested in the other four countries. The probability of VL testing after ART start increased only modestly each year (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.06). The percentage with unsuppressed VL was 8.6%. There was no evidence of a decrease in unsuppressed VL over time (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.01). CONCLUSIONS: CD4 cell counting declined over time, including testing at the start of ART, despite the fact that many patients still initiated ART with advanced HIV disease. Without CD4 testing and expanded VL testing many patients with advanced HIV disease and treatment failure may go undetected, threatening the effectiveness of ART in sub-Saharan Africa.