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The CIDRZ Research Repository serves as an open-access archive for peer-reviewed publications, conference papers, and other scholarly outputs from CIDRZ researchers. Our goal is to promote the dissemination of knowledge and support evidence-based public health initiatives.
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Item Statistical Modelling of Waning Immunity After Shanchol Vaccination: A Prospective Cohort Study(Vaccines, 2026-01-30) Bosomprah, Samuel; Liswaniso, Fraser; Phiri, Bernard; Chibuye, Mwelwa; Luchen, Charlie C.; Ng’ombe, Harriet; Chibesa, Kennedy; Ngosa, Dennis; Muchimba, Mutinta; Debes, Amanda K.; Chilengi, Roma; Sack, David A.; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract Introduction: Cholera remains a major public health threat in endemic settings, and oral cholera vaccine (Shanchol™) campaigns are increasingly used amid constrained global supply. However, practical decisions on revaccination require clearer, setting-specific estimates of how rapidly vaccine-induced vibriocidal antibodies peak and wane. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort kinetics analysis in Lukanga Swamps (Central Province, Zambia), enrolling adults (18–65 years) stratified by prior Shanchol™ exposure (0, 1, or 2 previous doses). All participants received two Shanchol™ doses 14 days apart, with serum collected at baseline and days 14, 28, 60, and 90 (end of follow-up). Ogawa and Inaba vibriocidal titres were measured using a complement-based assay and analysed on the log10 scale. Serotype-specific mixed-effects models with natural cubic splines for time (knots: 14, 28, 60 days) assessed trajectories by prior-dose strata, adjusting for age, sex, and HIV status. Peak timing and post-peak half-life were derived from model-based predictions with participant-level bootstrap CIs (1000 replications). Results: The analysis included 225 participants: 68 (30.2%) with zero prior doses, 89 (39.6%) with one, and 68 (30.2%) with two; median age was 33 years (IQR 25–49), 56.4% were female, and 19.2% were HIV-positive. Modelled titres for both serotypes rose steeply after vaccination, peaking around day 36–37 across prior-dose strata. Ogawa titres reached half of peak by about day 73–78, corresponding to post-peak half-lives of 37–41 days; Inaba declined more slowly with half-lives of 42–46 days. Confidence intervals overlapped across prior-dose strata, indicating minimal differences by vaccination history. Conclusions: In this cholera-endemic adult population, Shanchol™ induced vibriocidal responses that peaked at ~5 weeks and waned over the following 5–7 weeks, with broadly similar kinetics regardless of prior vaccination and slightly slower decay for Inaba than Ogawa. These parameters can inform booster timing in hotspot settings.Item Rotavirus Prevalence, Genetic Diversity, and Co-Infections during the 2023- 2024 Cholera Outbreak in Zambia: Insights from Multi-Pathogen Diagnostics(2026-02-28) Chauwa, Adriace; Bosomprah, Samuel; Phiri, Bernard; Laban, Natasha M.; Kuntawala, Dhvani H.; Ngosa, Dennis; Ng'ombe, Harriet; Liswaniso, Fraser; Luchen, Chaluma C.; Muchimba, Mutinta; Mwape, Innocent; Nzangwa, Bertha T.; Tigere, Sekayi F.; Chibesa, Kennedy; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Simuyandi, Michelo; Mbewe, Nyuma; Chilengi, Roma; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract During cholera outbreaks in Zambia, diagnostic strategies that rely on single-plex or targeted assays risk overlooking concomitant infections with other clinically important enteric pathogens. We estimated the prevalence of rotavirus and described co-detected enteropathogens and rotavirus genotypes among patients admitted with clinically suspected cholera during Zambia’s 2023–2024 cholera outbreak. We conducted a sub-analysis of diarrhoeal specimens collected from patients admitted to five cholera treatment centres who met the syndromic suspected cholera case definition. Stool samples were tested using the Bosphore® Gastroenteritis Panel v2, a multiplex PCR enteric panel, to detect rotavirus and other gastrointestinal pathogens. Rotavirus-positive specimen with sufficient viral load were further characterised by RT-PCR genotyping and Sanger sequencing targeting VP7 and VP4 genes. Among 319 suspected cholera admissions, rotavirus was detected in 18 patients, yielding a prevalence of 5.6% (95% CI 3.4%, 8.8%). Rotavirus detections occurred predominantly in children aged <5 years (87.5%) and 6-15 years (80.0%). Co-infection was common - 93.7%, (15/16) of rotavirus-positive samples showed co-infection with at least one additional enteric pathogen, primarily Campylobacter. Genotyping was successful in five samples and showed heterogenous circulating strains, including G1P[8], G2P[4], G3P[6], G12P[6], and a rare G1P[6] reassortant. During a large 2023–2024 cholera outbreak in Zambia, rotavirus accounted for a modest but clinically important fraction of the suspected cholera admissions and was typically identified within mixed enteric infections. These findings highlight the limitations of syndromic diagnosis in outbreak settings and support integrating multi-pathogen diagnostics and sustained molecular surveillance to improve case management, antimicrobial stewardship, and vaccine-era monitoring.Item Faecal Coliforms and Escherichia coli Contamination in Drinking Water Sources in Cholera Hotspot Areas of Lusaka District, Zambia: A Cross-Sectional Study(Microorganisms, 2026-02-11) Ng’ombe, Harriet; Luchen, Charlie C.; Phiri, Bernard; Ngosa, Dennis; Kapikila, Robby; Sakanya, Sydney; Sakala, Chikondi; Mbewe, Nyuma; Liswaniso, Fraser; Chilengi, Roma; Wilkinson, Eduan; Liebenberg, Lenine; Khan, Wesaal; Thomson, Nicholas R; Sack, David; Bosomprah, Samuel; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract The October 2023 to 2024 cholera outbreak demonstrates significant challenges related to water quality and sanitation, especially in peri-urban areas with limited access to clean water. This study assesses the presence of faecal coliforms and Escherichia coli (E. coli) in drinking water sources across five townships, identified as cholera transmission hotspots, two months post the cholera outbreak in the Lusaka District. A total of 169 water samples were collected from protected sources, treated piped water, and unprotected sources, including dams and shallow wells. Faecal coliforms and E. coli were detected across all source types. Among unprotected sources, 92.3% (12/13) of samples contained ≥100 CFU/100 mL of both faecal coliforms and E. coli. Protected sources showed variable contamination, with 18.3% exceeding ≥100 CFU/100 mL for faecal coliforms and 15.4% for E. coli. Treated water sources showed the lowest contamination, with 88.5% of samples having no detectable faecal coliforms and 90.4% having no detectable E. coli. Zero-inflated negative binomial regression showed that treated water sources were associated with substantially lower faecal coliform counts compared with protected sources (PR = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.03–0.35), while unprotected sources exhibited higher contamination intensity (PR = 1.77, 95% CI: 0.94–3.31). Treated sources were significantly more likely to be structurally free of contamination, whereas unprotected sources had an extremely low probability of yielding zero counts. These findings indicate that current water safety conditions in Lusaka’s cholera hotspot areas remain inadequate for preventing faecal-oral transmission.Item Genomic Analysis and Antimicrobial Resistance of Vibrio Cholerae Isolated During Zambia’s 2023 Cholera Epidemic(2025-12-02) Ng'ombe, Harriet; Luchen, Charlie C.; Bote, Lia; Kasonde, Mpanga; Musonda, Kunda; Mwape, Kapambwe K.; Kuntawala, Dhvani H.; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Chibuye, Mwelwa; Chibesa, Kennedy; Mbewe, Nyuma; Bosomprah, Samuel; Khan, Wesaal; Liebenberg, Lenine; Oliveira, Tulio de; Wilkinson, Eduan; Dorman, Matthew J.; Coghlan, Avril; Simuyandi, Michelo; Chilengi, Roma; Chisenga, Caroline C.; Thomson, Nicholas R.Introduction. Cholera, caused by Vibrio cholerae, remains a priority public health concern, particularly in developing countries. The first cholera outbreak in Zambia was documented in the 1970s, with recurring epidemics reported since then. In 2023, a cholera outbreak affected Zambia, particularly in districts bordering Malawi, Mozambique and the Democratic Republic of Congo, with significant cases reported in these neighbouring countries. This study aims to analyse cholera cases and isolates obtained during the 2023 epidemic, focusing on geographical distribution, genetic relatedness of isolates and their antibiotic resistance profiles. Methods. Stool samples were collected from patients presenting with cholera-like symptoms across three provinces of Zambia. A total of 98 samples were cultured on thiosulphate citrate bile salts sucrose agar, resulting in 32 sequenced V. cholerae isolates. Whole-genome sequencing was performed using Oxford Nanopore Technology, and phylogenetic inference was also achieved by the analysis of SNPs. Phenotypic antimicrobial resistance testing was conducted following Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute guidelines. The genomic data were analysed for virulence factors and antimicrobial resistance profiles. Results. Of the 98 stool samples tested, 38 confirmed cholera cases were identified. A subset of 32 confirmed V. cholerae isolates, predominantly from the Eastern Province of Zambia (n=21), was selected for whole-genome sequencing. Genomic analysis revealed that all isolates belonged to the seventh pandemic El Tor lineage and the O1 serogroup, with two distinct clades identified corresponding to the 10th (T10) and 15th (T15) transmission events. Geographical analysis indicated a predominance of Ogawa serotypes in Eastern Province and Inaba in Northern Province. The virulence gene analysis confirmed the presence of key cholera toxin genes (ctxA and ctxB) and intestinal colonization factors. All isolates carried genes or mutations predicted to confer resistance to multiple antibiotics, including decreased susceptibility to ciprofloxacin, recommended for the treatment of cholera by the World Health Organization. Conclusion. The findings highlight the critical need for enhanced surveillance and targeted interventions to mitigate cholera outbreaks in Zambia. The emergence of resistant V. cholerae strains necessitates innovative strategies, including improved water sanitation, vaccination efforts and novel therapeutic approaches to combat this enduring public health threat.Item Prevalence and Patterns of Enteric Co-Infections Among Individuals Presenting with Cholera-like Diarrheal Disease During Seasonal Cholera Outbreaks(Pathogens, 2025-11-30) Kuntawala, Dhvani H.; Bosomprah, Samuel; Phiri, Bernard; Ng’ombe, Harriet; Liswaniso, Fraser; Muchimba, Mutinta; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Chibesa, Kennedy; Nzangwa, Bertha T.; Luchen, Charlie C.; Mwape, Innocent; Tigere, Sekayi F.; Simuyandi, Michelo; Mbewe, Nyuma; Chilengi, Roma; Debes, Amanda K.; Thomson, Nicholas R.; Sack, David A.; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract Cholera remains a major public health challenge, and co-infections can complicate clinical outcomes. In a cross-sectional study, we investigated the prevalence and patterns of enteric co-infections during Zambia’s 2023–2024 cholera outbreak and evaluated their implications for disease severity. 240 suspected cholera patients were enrolled from five healthcare facilities in Lusaka. Stools were tested for 11 enteric pathogens using the Bosphore® Gastroenteritis Panel Kit v2 on the QuantStudio 5 qPCR, with Vibrio cholerae confirmed by real-time PCR (quantitative PCR). Co-infections were highly prevalent, affecting 79.2% of participants. Campylobacter was the most frequently detected pathogen (70.0%), followed by Norovirus GI/GII (20.0%). Persons living with HIV were significantly more likely to present with co-infections than their counterparts (adjusted PR 1.27, 95% CI: 1.07–1.51; p = 0.008). Participants with confirmed V. cholerae + coinfections (N = 62) were less likely to developed moderate to severe disease compared to those with mono-infections (adjusted PR 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38–0.90; p = 0.014). These findings highlight the high prevalence and complexity of co-infections during cholera outbreaks, potentially contributing to antimicrobial resistance. They also highlight the need for targeted clinical management, particularly among persons living with HIV.Item Diagnostic accuracy of saliva-based testing as a Vibrio cholerae surveillance tool among naturally infected patients.(2025-Jan-21) Chisenga, Caroline C.; Phiri, Bernard; Ng'ombe, Harriet; Muchimba, Mutinta; Liswaniso, Fraser; Bernshtein, Biana; Cunningham, Adam F.; Sack, David; Bosomprah, SamuelSaliva, as a diagnostic medium, offers a promising alternative to blood by virtue of its non-invasive collection, which enhances patient compliance, especially in paediatric and geriatric populations. In this study, we assessed the utility of saliva as a non-invasive medium for measuring Vibrio cholerae-specific serum antibodies in naturally infected individuals. We tested paired serum and saliva samples obtained from a total of 63 patients with cholera enrolled in a cohort study. Vibriocidal antibodies assay (IgM/IgG) as markers for accurate determination was used to determine cholera-specific antibody levels. Using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, we found that the best cut-off that maximizes (sensitivity + specificity) is 10 titres. At this saliva titre, the sensitivity is 76.9% (95%CI: 60.9%, 87.7%) and specificity is 80.0% (95%CI: 56.6%, 92.5%). Using Spearman's correlation coefficient, we also found evidence of a positive correlation between V. cholerae saliva and serum antibodies (rho = 0.66, P < 0.001). In conclusion, saliva-based diagnostic cholera tests have high diagnostic accuracy and would be advantageous, cheaper, and quicker for early diagnosis of severe cholera outcomes.Item Untitled(2025) Luchen, Charlie C.; Ngo'mbe, Harriet; Liswaniso, Fraser; Bosomprah, Samuel; Zhiteneva, Julia A.; Harris, Jason; Charles, Richelle C.; Ryan, Edward T.; Sack, David; Bernshtein, Biana; Chisenga, Caroline C.BACKGROUND: Cholera is a public health threat in resource-limited settings and is responsible for causing over 3 million cases globally. Mucosal immune responses play an important role in protecting against METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional antibody profiling study to analyse cholera-specific antibodies in saliva and plasma samples from 74 participants upon presenting to the cholera treatment centres. These were collected from four treatment centres in Lusaka during Zambia's most severe cholera outbreak in 2024 caused by RESULTS: Saliva and plasma antibody profiles were comparable, with elevated IgA1 and IgA2 responses to cholera toxin-B (CtxB), sialidase, HlyA, and TcpA in saliva. Broader systemic responses were seen in plasma, including high CtxB-specific IgM, IgA1, and total IgG levels. Notably, biomarkers such as HlyA, Ogawa O-specific polysaccharide (OSP), and sialidase exhibited significant positive correlations between plasma and saliva. Elevated biomarker levels of HlyA, Ogawa O-specific polysaccharide (OSP), and sialidase in people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) suggested immunological differences that warrant further exploration. CONCLUSION: We demonstrate that saliva is a viable, non-invasive alternative for cholera antibody-based profiling, offering practical advantages in resource-constrained settings. Given its strong correlation with systemic antibody profiles, saliva may be a practical sample for sero-surveillance in resource-limited settings. Future studies should investigate the duration of these salivary responses to further substantiate their use in estimating disease burden and immunity.Item Identification of cholera hotspots in Zambia: A spatiotemporal analysis of cholera data from 2008 to 2017.(2020-Apr) Mwaba, John; Debes, Amanda K.; Shea, Patrick; Mukonka, Victor; Chewe, Orbrie; Chisenga, Caroline C.; Simuyandi, Michelo; Kwenda, Geoffrey; Sack, David; Chilengi, Roma; Ali, MohammadThe global burden of cholera is increasing, with the majority (60%) of the cases occurring in sub-Saharan Africa. In Zambia, widespread cholera outbreaks have occurred since 1977, predominantly in the capital city of Lusaka. During both the 2016 and 2018 outbreaks, the Ministry of Health implemented cholera vaccination in addition to other preventative and control measures, to stop the spread and control the outbreak. Given the limitations in vaccine availability and the logistical support required for vaccination, oral cholera vaccine (OCV) is now recommended for use in the high risk areas ("hotspots") for cholera. Hence, the aim of this study was to identify areas with an increased risk of cholera in Zambia. Retrospective cholera case data from 2008 to 2017 was obtained from the Ministry of Health, Department of Public Health and Disease Surveillance. The Zambian Central Statistical Office provided district-level population data, socioeconomic and water, sanitation and hygiene (WaSH) indicators. To identify districts at high risk, we performed a discrete Poisson-based space-time scan statistic to account for variations in cholera risk across both space and time over a 10-year study period. A zero-inflated negative binomial regression model was employed to identify the district level risk factors for cholera. The risk map was generated by classifying the relative risk of cholera in each district, as obtained from the space-scan test statistic. In total, 34,950 cases of cholera were reported in Zambia between 2008 and 2017. Cholera cases varied spatially by year. During the study period, Lusaka District had the highest burden of cholera, with 29,080 reported cases. The space-time scan statistic identified 16 districts to be at a significantly higher risk of having cholera. The relative risk of having cholera in these districts was significantly higher and ranged from 1.25 to 78.87 times higher when compared to elsewhere in the country. Proximity to waterbodies was the only factor associated with the increased risk for cholera (P<0.05). This study provides a basis for the cholera elimination program in Zambia. Outside Lusaka, the majority of high risk districts identified were near the border with the DRC, Tanzania, Mozambique, and Zimbabwe. This suggests that cholera in Zambia may be linked to movement of people from neighboring areas of cholera endemicity. A collaborative intervention program implemented in concert with neighboring countries could be an effective strategy for elimination of cholera in Zambia, while also reducing rates at a regional level.Item Sero-prevalence of arthropod-borne viral infections among Lukanga swamp residents in Zambia.(2020) Chisenga, Caroline C.; Bosomprah, Samuel; Musukuma, Kalo; Mubanga, Cynthia; Chilyabanyama, Obvious N.; Velu, Rachel M.; Kim, Young C.; Reyes-Sandoval, Arturo; Chilengi, RomaINTRODUCTION: The re-emergence of vector borne diseases affecting millions of people in recent years has drawn attention to arboviruses globally. Here, we report on the sero-prevalence of chikungunya virus (CHIKV), dengue virus (DENV), mayaro virus (MAYV) and zika virus (ZIKV) in a swamp community in Zambia. METHODS: We collected blood and saliva samples from residents of Lukanga swamps in 2016 during a mass-cholera vaccination campaign. Over 10,000 residents were vaccinated with two doses of Shanchol™ during this period. The biological samples were collected prior to vaccination (baseline) and at specified time points after vaccination. We tested a total of 214 baseline stored serum samples for IgG antibodies against NS1 of DENV and ZIKV and E2 of CHIKV and MAYV on ELISA. We defined sero-prevalence as the proportion of participants with optical density (OD) values above a defined cut-off value, determined using a finite mixture model. RESULTS: Of the 214 participants, 79 (36.9%; 95% CI 30.5-43.8) were sero-positive for Chikungunya; 23 (10.8%; 95% CI 6.9-15.7) for Zika, 36 (16.8%; 95% CI 12.1-22.5) for Dengue and 42 (19.6%; 95% CI 14.5-25.6) for Mayaro. Older participants were more likely to have Zika virus whilst those involved with fishing activities were at greater risk of contracting Chikungunya virus. Among all the antigens tested, we also found that Chikungunya saliva antibody titres correlated with baseline serum titres (Spearman's correlation coefficient = 0.222; p = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Arbovirus transmission is occurring in Zambia. This requires proper screening tools as well as surveillance data to accurately report on disease burden in Zambia.Item A pilot study on use of live attenuated rotavirus vaccine (Rotarix™) as an infection challenge model.(2020-Oct-27) Chilengi, Roma; Simuyandi, Michelo; Chibuye, Mwelwa; Chirwa, Masuzyo; Sukwa, Nsofwa; Laban, Natasha; Chisenga, Caroline C.; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Grassly, Nicholas; Bosomprah, SamuelBACKGROUND: Rotavirus remains the commonest cause of dehydrating diarrhoea, particularly in developing countries. Human infection challenge studies in children in these countries offers an opportunity to rapidly evaluate new vaccine candidates that may have improved efficacy. We evaluated use of Rotarix™ as a live-attenuated challenge agent. METHODS: We undertook an open label, exploratory study in infants receiving two standard doses of Rotarix™ at 6 and 10 weeks of age in a cohort of 22 Zambian infants. The first vaccine dose was considered as primary vaccination, and the second at day 28 as a live-attenuated virus challenge. Saliva, stool and serum samples were collected on days 0, 3, 5, 7, 14, and 28 following each dose. The primary outcome was stool shedding of rotavirus, determined by NSP2 qPCR. We calculated mean shedding index as average of natural logarithm of viral copies per gram of stool. FINDINGS: After the first dose, viral shedding was high at day 3, peaked by day 5. After the second dose, viral shedding at day 3 was low and reduced gradually in most infants until day 14. Mean shedding index was significantly lower post dose 2 across all infants and timepoints (5.0 virus copies/g of stool [95%CI: 0.3-9.7] vs 10.4 virus copies/g of stool [95%CI: 6.2-14.6]; p-value < 0.0001; rho = 0.20, SD = 4.97. Seroconversion at day 28 was associated with a mean reduction of -1.03 (95%CI = -8.07, 6.01) in viral shedding after challenge dose but this was not statistically significant (p = 0.774). A borderline positive correlation between fold-change in IgA titre at day 28 from day 0 in saliva and serum was observed; Spearman's correlation coefficient, r = 0.69; p = 0.086. INTERPRETATION: Shedding after the 'challenge' dose was reduced compared with the first dose, consistent with the induction of mucosal immunity by the first dose. This supports the use of Rotarix vaccine as a live-attenuated infection challenge. FUNDING: Medical Research Council (UK) through the HIC-Vac Network.