Publications
Permanent URI for this communityhttps://pubs.cidrz.org/handle/123456789/11558
Welcome to the CIDRZ Research Repository
The CIDRZ Research Repository serves as an open-access archive for peer-reviewed publications, conference papers, and other scholarly outputs from CIDRZ researchers. Our goal is to promote the dissemination of knowledge and support evidence-based public health initiatives.
News
New Research Publications Added
We have recently added new publications on HIV prevention, maternal health, and epidemiology. Browse the latest research in our repository.
Browse
16 results
Search Results
Item Statistical Modelling of Waning Immunity After Shanchol Vaccination: A Prospective Cohort Study(Vaccines, 2026-01-30) Bosomprah, Samuel; Liswaniso, Fraser; Phiri, Bernard; Chibuye, Mwelwa; Luchen, Charlie C.; Ng’ombe, Harriet; Chibesa, Kennedy; Ngosa, Dennis; Muchimba, Mutinta; Debes, Amanda K.; Chilengi, Roma; Sack, David A.; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract Introduction: Cholera remains a major public health threat in endemic settings, and oral cholera vaccine (Shanchol™) campaigns are increasingly used amid constrained global supply. However, practical decisions on revaccination require clearer, setting-specific estimates of how rapidly vaccine-induced vibriocidal antibodies peak and wane. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort kinetics analysis in Lukanga Swamps (Central Province, Zambia), enrolling adults (18–65 years) stratified by prior Shanchol™ exposure (0, 1, or 2 previous doses). All participants received two Shanchol™ doses 14 days apart, with serum collected at baseline and days 14, 28, 60, and 90 (end of follow-up). Ogawa and Inaba vibriocidal titres were measured using a complement-based assay and analysed on the log10 scale. Serotype-specific mixed-effects models with natural cubic splines for time (knots: 14, 28, 60 days) assessed trajectories by prior-dose strata, adjusting for age, sex, and HIV status. Peak timing and post-peak half-life were derived from model-based predictions with participant-level bootstrap CIs (1000 replications). Results: The analysis included 225 participants: 68 (30.2%) with zero prior doses, 89 (39.6%) with one, and 68 (30.2%) with two; median age was 33 years (IQR 25–49), 56.4% were female, and 19.2% were HIV-positive. Modelled titres for both serotypes rose steeply after vaccination, peaking around day 36–37 across prior-dose strata. Ogawa titres reached half of peak by about day 73–78, corresponding to post-peak half-lives of 37–41 days; Inaba declined more slowly with half-lives of 42–46 days. Confidence intervals overlapped across prior-dose strata, indicating minimal differences by vaccination history. Conclusions: In this cholera-endemic adult population, Shanchol™ induced vibriocidal responses that peaked at ~5 weeks and waned over the following 5–7 weeks, with broadly similar kinetics regardless of prior vaccination and slightly slower decay for Inaba than Ogawa. These parameters can inform booster timing in hotspot settings.Item Rotavirus Prevalence, Genetic Diversity, and Co-Infections during the 2023- 2024 Cholera Outbreak in Zambia: Insights from Multi-Pathogen Diagnostics(2026-02-28) Chauwa, Adriace; Bosomprah, Samuel; Phiri, Bernard; Laban, Natasha M.; Kuntawala, Dhvani H.; Ngosa, Dennis; Ng'ombe, Harriet; Liswaniso, Fraser; Luchen, Chaluma C.; Muchimba, Mutinta; Mwape, Innocent; Nzangwa, Bertha T.; Tigere, Sekayi F.; Chibesa, Kennedy; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Simuyandi, Michelo; Mbewe, Nyuma; Chilengi, Roma; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract During cholera outbreaks in Zambia, diagnostic strategies that rely on single-plex or targeted assays risk overlooking concomitant infections with other clinically important enteric pathogens. We estimated the prevalence of rotavirus and described co-detected enteropathogens and rotavirus genotypes among patients admitted with clinically suspected cholera during Zambia’s 2023–2024 cholera outbreak. We conducted a sub-analysis of diarrhoeal specimens collected from patients admitted to five cholera treatment centres who met the syndromic suspected cholera case definition. Stool samples were tested using the Bosphore® Gastroenteritis Panel v2, a multiplex PCR enteric panel, to detect rotavirus and other gastrointestinal pathogens. Rotavirus-positive specimen with sufficient viral load were further characterised by RT-PCR genotyping and Sanger sequencing targeting VP7 and VP4 genes. Among 319 suspected cholera admissions, rotavirus was detected in 18 patients, yielding a prevalence of 5.6% (95% CI 3.4%, 8.8%). Rotavirus detections occurred predominantly in children aged <5 years (87.5%) and 6-15 years (80.0%). Co-infection was common - 93.7%, (15/16) of rotavirus-positive samples showed co-infection with at least one additional enteric pathogen, primarily Campylobacter. Genotyping was successful in five samples and showed heterogenous circulating strains, including G1P[8], G2P[4], G3P[6], G12P[6], and a rare G1P[6] reassortant. During a large 2023–2024 cholera outbreak in Zambia, rotavirus accounted for a modest but clinically important fraction of the suspected cholera admissions and was typically identified within mixed enteric infections. These findings highlight the limitations of syndromic diagnosis in outbreak settings and support integrating multi-pathogen diagnostics and sustained molecular surveillance to improve case management, antimicrobial stewardship, and vaccine-era monitoring.Item Faecal Coliforms and Escherichia coli Contamination in Drinking Water Sources in Cholera Hotspot Areas of Lusaka District, Zambia: A Cross-Sectional Study(Microorganisms, 2026-02-11) Ng’ombe, Harriet; Luchen, Charlie C.; Phiri, Bernard; Ngosa, Dennis; Kapikila, Robby; Sakanya, Sydney; Sakala, Chikondi; Mbewe, Nyuma; Liswaniso, Fraser; Chilengi, Roma; Wilkinson, Eduan; Liebenberg, Lenine; Khan, Wesaal; Thomson, Nicholas R; Sack, David; Bosomprah, Samuel; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract The October 2023 to 2024 cholera outbreak demonstrates significant challenges related to water quality and sanitation, especially in peri-urban areas with limited access to clean water. This study assesses the presence of faecal coliforms and Escherichia coli (E. coli) in drinking water sources across five townships, identified as cholera transmission hotspots, two months post the cholera outbreak in the Lusaka District. A total of 169 water samples were collected from protected sources, treated piped water, and unprotected sources, including dams and shallow wells. Faecal coliforms and E. coli were detected across all source types. Among unprotected sources, 92.3% (12/13) of samples contained ≥100 CFU/100 mL of both faecal coliforms and E. coli. Protected sources showed variable contamination, with 18.3% exceeding ≥100 CFU/100 mL for faecal coliforms and 15.4% for E. coli. Treated water sources showed the lowest contamination, with 88.5% of samples having no detectable faecal coliforms and 90.4% having no detectable E. coli. Zero-inflated negative binomial regression showed that treated water sources were associated with substantially lower faecal coliform counts compared with protected sources (PR = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.03–0.35), while unprotected sources exhibited higher contamination intensity (PR = 1.77, 95% CI: 0.94–3.31). Treated sources were significantly more likely to be structurally free of contamination, whereas unprotected sources had an extremely low probability of yielding zero counts. These findings indicate that current water safety conditions in Lusaka’s cholera hotspot areas remain inadequate for preventing faecal-oral transmission.Item Genomic Analysis and Antimicrobial Resistance of Vibrio Cholerae Isolated During Zambia’s 2023 Cholera Epidemic(2025-12-02) Ng'ombe, Harriet; Luchen, Charlie C.; Bote, Lia; Kasonde, Mpanga; Musonda, Kunda; Mwape, Kapambwe K.; Kuntawala, Dhvani H.; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Chibuye, Mwelwa; Chibesa, Kennedy; Mbewe, Nyuma; Bosomprah, Samuel; Khan, Wesaal; Liebenberg, Lenine; Oliveira, Tulio de; Wilkinson, Eduan; Dorman, Matthew J.; Coghlan, Avril; Simuyandi, Michelo; Chilengi, Roma; Chisenga, Caroline C.; Thomson, Nicholas R.Introduction. Cholera, caused by Vibrio cholerae, remains a priority public health concern, particularly in developing countries. The first cholera outbreak in Zambia was documented in the 1970s, with recurring epidemics reported since then. In 2023, a cholera outbreak affected Zambia, particularly in districts bordering Malawi, Mozambique and the Democratic Republic of Congo, with significant cases reported in these neighbouring countries. This study aims to analyse cholera cases and isolates obtained during the 2023 epidemic, focusing on geographical distribution, genetic relatedness of isolates and their antibiotic resistance profiles. Methods. Stool samples were collected from patients presenting with cholera-like symptoms across three provinces of Zambia. A total of 98 samples were cultured on thiosulphate citrate bile salts sucrose agar, resulting in 32 sequenced V. cholerae isolates. Whole-genome sequencing was performed using Oxford Nanopore Technology, and phylogenetic inference was also achieved by the analysis of SNPs. Phenotypic antimicrobial resistance testing was conducted following Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute guidelines. The genomic data were analysed for virulence factors and antimicrobial resistance profiles. Results. Of the 98 stool samples tested, 38 confirmed cholera cases were identified. A subset of 32 confirmed V. cholerae isolates, predominantly from the Eastern Province of Zambia (n=21), was selected for whole-genome sequencing. Genomic analysis revealed that all isolates belonged to the seventh pandemic El Tor lineage and the O1 serogroup, with two distinct clades identified corresponding to the 10th (T10) and 15th (T15) transmission events. Geographical analysis indicated a predominance of Ogawa serotypes in Eastern Province and Inaba in Northern Province. The virulence gene analysis confirmed the presence of key cholera toxin genes (ctxA and ctxB) and intestinal colonization factors. All isolates carried genes or mutations predicted to confer resistance to multiple antibiotics, including decreased susceptibility to ciprofloxacin, recommended for the treatment of cholera by the World Health Organization. Conclusion. The findings highlight the critical need for enhanced surveillance and targeted interventions to mitigate cholera outbreaks in Zambia. The emergence of resistant V. cholerae strains necessitates innovative strategies, including improved water sanitation, vaccination efforts and novel therapeutic approaches to combat this enduring public health threat.Item Prevalence and Patterns of Enteric Co-Infections Among Individuals Presenting with Cholera-like Diarrheal Disease During Seasonal Cholera Outbreaks(Pathogens, 2025-11-30) Kuntawala, Dhvani H.; Bosomprah, Samuel; Phiri, Bernard; Ng’ombe, Harriet; Liswaniso, Fraser; Muchimba, Mutinta; Silwamba, Suwilanji; Chibesa, Kennedy; Nzangwa, Bertha T.; Luchen, Charlie C.; Mwape, Innocent; Tigere, Sekayi F.; Simuyandi, Michelo; Mbewe, Nyuma; Chilengi, Roma; Debes, Amanda K.; Thomson, Nicholas R.; Sack, David A.; Chisenga, Caroline C.Abstract Cholera remains a major public health challenge, and co-infections can complicate clinical outcomes. In a cross-sectional study, we investigated the prevalence and patterns of enteric co-infections during Zambia’s 2023–2024 cholera outbreak and evaluated their implications for disease severity. 240 suspected cholera patients were enrolled from five healthcare facilities in Lusaka. Stools were tested for 11 enteric pathogens using the Bosphore® Gastroenteritis Panel Kit v2 on the QuantStudio 5 qPCR, with Vibrio cholerae confirmed by real-time PCR (quantitative PCR). Co-infections were highly prevalent, affecting 79.2% of participants. Campylobacter was the most frequently detected pathogen (70.0%), followed by Norovirus GI/GII (20.0%). Persons living with HIV were significantly more likely to present with co-infections than their counterparts (adjusted PR 1.27, 95% CI: 1.07–1.51; p = 0.008). Participants with confirmed V. cholerae + coinfections (N = 62) were less likely to developed moderate to severe disease compared to those with mono-infections (adjusted PR 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38–0.90; p = 0.014). These findings highlight the high prevalence and complexity of co-infections during cholera outbreaks, potentially contributing to antimicrobial resistance. They also highlight the need for targeted clinical management, particularly among persons living with HIV.Item Diagnostic accuracy of saliva-based testing as a Vibrio cholerae surveillance tool among naturally infected patients.(2025-Jan-21) Chisenga, Caroline C.; Phiri, Bernard; Ng'ombe, Harriet; Muchimba, Mutinta; Liswaniso, Fraser; Bernshtein, Biana; Cunningham, Adam F.; Sack, David; Bosomprah, SamuelSaliva, as a diagnostic medium, offers a promising alternative to blood by virtue of its non-invasive collection, which enhances patient compliance, especially in paediatric and geriatric populations. In this study, we assessed the utility of saliva as a non-invasive medium for measuring Vibrio cholerae-specific serum antibodies in naturally infected individuals. We tested paired serum and saliva samples obtained from a total of 63 patients with cholera enrolled in a cohort study. Vibriocidal antibodies assay (IgM/IgG) as markers for accurate determination was used to determine cholera-specific antibody levels. Using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, we found that the best cut-off that maximizes (sensitivity + specificity) is 10 titres. At this saliva titre, the sensitivity is 76.9% (95%CI: 60.9%, 87.7%) and specificity is 80.0% (95%CI: 56.6%, 92.5%). Using Spearman's correlation coefficient, we also found evidence of a positive correlation between V. cholerae saliva and serum antibodies (rho = 0.66, P < 0.001). In conclusion, saliva-based diagnostic cholera tests have high diagnostic accuracy and would be advantageous, cheaper, and quicker for early diagnosis of severe cholera outcomes.Item Three transmission events of Vibrio cholerae O1 into Lusaka, Zambia.(2021-Jun-14) Mwaba, John; Debes, Amanda K.; Murt, Kelsey N.; Shea, Patrick; Simuyandi, Michelo; Laban, Natasha; Kazimbaya, Katayi; Chisenga, Caroline C.; Li, Shan; Almeida, Mathieu; Meisel, Jacquelyn S.; Shibemba, Aaron; Kantenga, Timothy; Mukonka, Victor; Kwenda, Geoffrey; Sack, David A.; Chilengi, Roma; Stine, Colin O.BACKGROUND: Cholera has been present and recurring in Zambia since 1977. However, there is a paucity of data on genetic relatedness and diversity of the Vibrio cholerae isolates responsible for these outbreaks. Understanding whether the outbreaks are seeded from existing local isolates or if the outbreaks represent separate transmission events can inform public health decisions. RESULTS: Seventy-two V. cholerae isolates from outbreaks in 2009/2010, 2016, and 2017/2018 in Zambia were characterized using multilocus variable number tandem repeat analysis (MLVA) and whole genome sequencing (WGS). The isolates had eight distinct MLVA genotypes that clustered into three MLVA clonal complexes (CCs). Each CC contained isolates from only one outbreak. The results from WGS revealed both clustered and dispersed single nucleotide variants. The genetic relatedness of isolates based on WGS was consistent with the MLVA, each CC was a distinct genetic lineage and had nearest neighbors from other East African countries. In Lusaka, isolates from the same outbreak were more closely related to themselves and isolates from other countries than to isolates from other outbreaks in other years. CONCLUSIONS: Our observations are consistent with i) the presence of random mutation and alternative mechanisms of nucleotide variation, and ii) three separate transmission events of V. cholerae into Lusaka, Zambia. We suggest that locally, case-area targeted invention strategies and regionally, well-coordinated plans be in place to effectively control future cholera outbreaks.Item Mosquito-Borne Viral Pathogens Detected in Zambia: A Systematic Review.(2021-Aug-10) Velu, Rachel M.; Kwenda, Geoffrey; Libonda, Liyali; Chisenga, Caroline C.; Flavien, Bumbangi N.; Chilyabanyama, Obvious N.; Simunyandi, Michelo; Bosomprah, Samuel; Sande, Nicholus C.; Changula, Katendi; Muleya, Walter; Mburu, Monicah M.; Mubemba, Benjamin; Chitanga, Simbarashe; Tembo, John; Bates, Matthew; Kapata, Nathan; Orba, Yasuko ; Kajihara, Masahiro; Takada, Ayato; Sawa, Hirofumi ; Chilengi, Roma; Simulundu, EdgarEmerging and re-emerging mosquito-borne viral diseases are a threat to global health. This systematic review aimed to investigate the available evidence of mosquito-borne viral pathogens reported in Zambia. A search of literature was conducted in PubMed and Google Scholar for articles published from 1 January 1930 to 30 June 2020 using a combination of keywords. Eight mosquito-borne viruses belonging to three families,Item Effect of HIV status and retinol on immunogenicity to oral cholera vaccine in adult population living in an endemic area of Lukanga Swamps, Zambia.(2021) Luchen, Charlie C.; Mwaba, John; Ng'ombe, Harriet; Alabi, Peter I. O.; Simuyandi, Michelo; Chilyabanyama, Obvious N.; Hatyoka, Luiza M.; Mubanga, Cynthia; Bosomprah, Samuel; Chilengi, Roma; Chisenga, Caroline C.BACKGROUND: We set out to assess the impact of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and micronutrient deficiency as indicated by serum retinol levels on the immune responses to Oral Cholera Vaccine (Shanchol™) in a cohort of participants in Lukanga Swamps, Zambia. Cholera remains endemic in Zambia with vaccines being the only effective preventive measures. However, the effect of these vaccines on populations living with HIV has not been widely documented. METHODS: HIV testing and confirmation was done using the Alere Determine™ HIV-1/2 and Uni-Gold™ kits while vibriocidal antibody assay was applied for vaccine immunogenicity. Serum retinol analysis was assessed by Shimadzu Prominence HCT-2010 High Performance Liquid Chromatography (HPLC). The primary outcome was log transformed geometric mean titre. RESULTS: From 47 participants screened for HIV, 51% (24) tested positive. There was a statistically significant reduction in Ogawa geometric mean ratio (GMR) by 67% (GMR = 0.33; 95% CI: -0.15, 0.76; p-value = 0.009) attributable to HIV positivity with a non-significant reduction in Inaba GMR by about 50% due to HIV positivity. When doubling of retinol levels modelled, GMR reduction against Ogawa were non-significant but that against Inaba resulted in a significant reduction in geometric mean titer (GMT) (GMT-0.33, C.I 0.16-0.66, p-value 0.002). At 1000copies/ml viral load cut off and 350 cells/μl CD4 counts, Ogawa GMT was two times higher 11.16 (95%CI: 8.20-15.19) versus 6.06 (95%CI: 4.04-9.10) in low viremia participants, and three times higher in above threshold CD4 count participants; 24.81 (95%CI: 18.94-32.50) versus 7.07 (95%CI: 5.22-9.58). CONCLUSION: Our results show that while Shanchol™ is immunogenic in both HIV+/- individuals, HIV + participants responded poorly. Viral load and CD4 count affected vaccine immunogenicity. More research is required for detailed understanding of this in order to appropriately inform policy and practice. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0260552Item Immunogenicity and waning immunity from the oral cholera vaccine (Shanchol™) in adults residing in Lukanga Swamps of Zambia.(2022) Ng Ombe, Harriet; Simuyandi, Michelo; Mwaba, John; Luchen, Charlie C.; Alabi, Peter; Chilyabanyama, Obvious N.; Mubanga, Cynthia; Hatyoka, Luiza M.; Muchimba, Mutinta; Bosomprah, Samuel; Chilengi, Roma; Kwenda, Geoffrey; Chisenga, Caroline C.INTRODUCTION: In cholera endemic areas, the periodicity of cholera outbreaks remains unpredictable, making it difficult to organize preventive efforts. Lack of data on duration of protection conferred by oral cholera vaccines further makes it difficult to determine when to deploy preemptive vaccination. We report on the immunogenicity and waning of immunity to Shanchol™ in Lukanga Swamps. METHODS: We enrolled a cohort of 223 participants aged between 18 and 65 years old from whom serum samples were collected at baseline, day 28 before administration of the second dose, and consecutively at 6, 12, 24, 30, 36, and 48 months. Vibriocidal antibody titres were measured and expressed as geometric mean titres. Box plots and 95% CI were computed at each visit for both Inaba and Ogawa. Seroconversion was defined as a four fold or greater increase in antibody titres compared to baseline titres. RESULTS: Overall, seroconversion against V. cholerae Inaba and Ogawa after 1st dose was 35/134 (26%) and 34/134 (25%) respectively. We observed a statistical difference in seroconversion between the two subgroups of baseline titres (low <80 and high ≥80) for both Inaba (p = 0.02) and Ogawa (p<0.0001). From a baseline of 13.58, anti-Ogawa GMT increased to 21.95 after the first dose, but rapidly waned to 14.52, 13.13, and 12.78 at months 6, 12 and 24 respectively, and then increased to 13.21, 18.67 and 23.65 at months 30, 36 and 48 respectively. A similar trend was observed for anti-Inaba GMT across the same time points. CONCLUSION: We found that Shanchol™ was immunogenic in our study population and that vibriocidal antibodies may not be a good marker for long-term immunity. The observed rise in titres after 36 months suggests natural exposure, and this may be a critical time window opening for natural transmission in an endemic areas. We recommend re-vaccination at this time point in high risk areas.